Recent high-resolution model runs from KNMI Harmonie and global ensembles show Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on August 29 centering on 15–17 °C under persistent southwesterly flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling while maintaining dew points near 14–16 °C, keeping the lowest temperature tightly clustered around the market’s leading 16 °C, 15 °C, and 17 °C outcomes. Slight differences in forecast wind speed and cloud thickness over the final nocturnal hours determine whether the mercury dips to 15 °C or holds at 17 °C; any late clearing or lighter winds could push readings lower, while stronger mixing favors the higher end of the range. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will resolve the precise minimum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
8月29日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
16°C 39%
15°C 30%
17°C 27%
18°C 25%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
12°C or below
4%
13°C
15%
14°C
9%
15°C
30%
16°C
39%
17°C
27%
18°C
25%
19°C
15%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
4%
16°C 39%
15°C 30%
17°C 27%
18°C 25%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
13°C
$64 Vol.
15%
14°C
$0 Vol.
9%
15°C
$0 Vol.
30%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
25%
19°C
$5 Vol.
15%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from KNMI Harmonie and global ensembles show Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on August 29 centering on 15–17 °C under persistent southwesterly flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling while maintaining dew points near 14–16 °C, keeping the lowest temperature tightly clustered around the market’s leading 16 °C, 15 °C, and 17 °C outcomes. Slight differences in forecast wind speed and cloud thickness over the final nocturnal hours determine whether the mercury dips to 15 °C or holds at 17 °C; any late clearing or lighter winds could push readings lower, while stronger mixing favors the higher end of the range. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will resolve the precise minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$89終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from KNMI Harmonie and global ensembles show Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on August 29 centering on 15–17 °C under persistent southwesterly flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling while maintaining dew points near 14–16 °C, keeping the lowest temperature tightly clustered around the market’s leading 16 °C, 15 °C, and 17 °C outcomes. Slight differences in forecast wind speed and cloud thickness over the final nocturnal hours determine whether the mercury dips to 15 °C or holds at 17 °C; any late clearing or lighter winds could push readings lower, while stronger mixing favors the higher end of the range. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will resolve the precise minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$89終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent high-resolution model runs from KNMI Harmonie and global ensembles show Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on August 29 centering on 15–17 °C under persistent southwesterly flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling while maintaining dew points near 14–16 °C, keeping the lowest temperature tightly clustered around the market’s leading 16 °C, 15 °C, and 17 °C outcomes. Slight differences in forecast wind speed and cloud thickness over the final nocturnal hours determine whether the mercury dips to 15 °C or holds at 17 °C; any late clearing or lighter winds could push readings lower, while stronger mixing favors the higher end of the range. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will resolve the precise minimum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問