Recent short-range forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions over Amsterdam on September 1, with overnight lows expected near 14–15°C under moderate westerly winds and dew points around 11–13°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes and the city's temperate maritime climate, where North Sea influence typically limits radiative cooling. Subtle differences among 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C hinges hinge on exact timing of any residual cloud breaks or light showers, which can alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September 1 lows average near 12°C, but current high pressure and reduced precipitation chances support a milder profile, with traders weighting consensus model runs heavily ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のアムステルダムの最低気温は?
20°C or higher 53%
15°C 29%
17°C 28%
14°C 27%
10°C or below
25%
11°C
14%
12°C
19%
13°C
24%
14°C
27%
15°C
29%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
22%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
53%
20°C or higher 53%
15°C 29%
17°C 28%
14°C 27%
10°C or below
25%
11°C
14%
12°C
19%
13°C
24%
14°C
27%
15°C
29%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
22%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions over Amsterdam on September 1, with overnight lows expected near 14–15°C under moderate westerly winds and dew points around 11–13°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes and the city's temperate maritime climate, where North Sea influence typically limits radiative cooling. Subtle differences among 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C hinges hinge on exact timing of any residual cloud breaks or light showers, which can alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September 1 lows average near 12°C, but current high pressure and reduced precipitation chances support a milder profile, with traders weighting consensus model runs heavily ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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