Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS runs indicate Amsterdam overnight lows near 11–13°C on September 10, driven by light winds, partial cloud cover, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 6°C or below reflects residual spread in model members that allow for stronger nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected or dew points drop further. Historical September minima average 11.3°C at Schiphol, with rare excursions below 7°C tied to anomalous high-pressure setups and clear, calm conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
9月10日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
6℃以下 67%
11°C 30%
10℃ 23%
9°C 22%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
6℃以下
67%
7℃
13%
8℃
13%
9°C
22%
10℃
23%
11°C
30%
12℃
20%
13℃
22%
14℃
16%
15℃
15%
16℃以上
12%
6℃以下 67%
11°C 30%
10℃ 23%
9°C 22%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
6℃以下
$25 Vol.
67%
7℃
$10 Vol.
13%
8℃
$67 Vol.
13%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10℃
$0 Vol.
23%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12℃
$0 Vol.
20%
13℃
$0 Vol.
22%
14℃
$15 Vol.
16%
15℃
$10 Vol.
15%
16℃以上
$51 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS runs indicate Amsterdam overnight lows near 11–13°C on September 10, driven by light winds, partial cloud cover, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 6°C or below reflects residual spread in model members that allow for stronger nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected or dew points drop further. Historical September minima average 11.3°C at Schiphol, with rare excursions below 7°C tied to anomalous high-pressure setups and clear, calm conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$178終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS runs indicate Amsterdam overnight lows near 11–13°C on September 10, driven by light winds, partial cloud cover, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 6°C or below reflects residual spread in model members that allow for stronger nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected or dew points drop further. Historical September minima average 11.3°C at Schiphol, with rare excursions below 7°C tied to anomalous high-pressure setups and clear, calm conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$178終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS runs indicate Amsterdam overnight lows near 11–13°C on September 10, driven by light winds, partial cloud cover, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 6°C or below reflects residual spread in model members that allow for stronger nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected or dew points drop further. Historical September minima average 11.3°C at Schiphol, with rare excursions below 7°C tied to anomalous high-pressure setups and clear, calm conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問