Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned data and European centers indicate an overnight low near 12°C in Amsterdam on September 9, driven by mild westerly Atlantic flow, partial cloud cover, and dew points supporting stabilization around that level. This aligns with the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 11°C for early September at Schiphol, without a strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event to push readings lower. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for brief dips near 11°C under localized showers, explaining the market's heavy weighting toward 11–12°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 10°C or below. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine exact minimums before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
9月9日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
12°C 99%
11°C 9%
9℃以下 <1%
10℃ <1%
$1,643 Vol.
$1,643 Vol.
2026/09/09
9℃以下
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12°C
はい
13℃
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19℃以上
いいえ
12°C 99%
11°C 9%
9℃以下 <1%
10℃ <1%
$1,643 Vol.
$1,643 Vol.
2026/09/09
9℃以下
$75 Vol.
いいえ
10℃
$166 Vol.
いいえ
11°C
$35 Vol.
いいえ
12°C
$46 Vol.
はい
13℃
$131 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$156 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$164 Vol.
いいえ
16℃
$215 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$199 Vol.
いいえ
18℃
$264 Vol.
いいえ
19℃以上
$190 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned data and European centers indicate an overnight low near 12°C in Amsterdam on September 9, driven by mild westerly Atlantic flow, partial cloud cover, and dew points supporting stabilization around that level. This aligns with the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 11°C for early September at Schiphol, without a strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event to push readings lower. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for brief dips near 11°C under localized showers, explaining the market's heavy weighting toward 11–12°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 10°C or below. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine exact minimums before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$1,643終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned data and European centers indicate an overnight low near 12°C in Amsterdam on September 9, driven by mild westerly Atlantic flow, partial cloud cover, and dew points supporting stabilization around that level. This aligns with the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 11°C for early September at Schiphol, without a strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event to push readings lower. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for brief dips near 11°C under localized showers, explaining the market's heavy weighting toward 11–12°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 10°C or below. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine exact minimums before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,643終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned data and European centers indicate an overnight low near 12°C in Amsterdam on September 9, driven by mild westerly Atlantic flow, partial cloud cover, and dew points supporting stabilization around that level. This aligns with the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 11°C for early September at Schiphol, without a strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event to push readings lower. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for brief dips near 11°C under localized showers, explaining the market's heavy weighting toward 11–12°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 10°C or below. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine exact minimums before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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