**Forecast models and observational data indicate a clear, dry night over Ankara on September 5 with light northeasterly winds and high pressure supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30 °C.** Recent model runs from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international guidance converge on an overnight low of 15–16 °C, consistent with September climatology (typical minimum around 14 °C). This places the outcome near the 14–16 °C market levels that together hold roughly 78 % implied probability, while the near-even split between the 13 °C-or-below bucket (50.5 %) and warmer bins reflects lingering uncertainty in exact cooling rates under calm conditions. No significant weather systems or cloud cover are expected to moderate temperatures before dawn, keeping the primary variables wind speed, dew-point depression, and surface radiation the key differentiators among the closely matched probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のアンカラの最低気温は？
9月5日のアンカラの最低気温は？
13℃以下 51%
18°C 50%
17℃ 49%
14℃ 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/05
13℃以下
51%
14℃
27%
15℃
27%
16℃
26%
17℃
49%
18°C
50%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃以上
<1%
13℃以下 51%
18°C 50%
17℃ 49%
14℃ 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/05
13℃以下
$0 Vol.
51%
14℃
$0 Vol.
27%
15℃
$1 Vol.
27%
16℃
$1 Vol.
26%
17℃
$3 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19℃
$35 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$35 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$63 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$63 Vol.
<1%
23℃以上
$43 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data indicate a clear, dry night over Ankara on September 5 with light northeasterly winds and high pressure supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30 °C.** Recent model runs from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international guidance converge on an overnight low of 15–16 °C, consistent with September climatology (typical minimum around 14 °C). This places the outcome near the 14–16 °C market levels that together hold roughly 78 % implied probability, while the near-even split between the 13 °C-or-below bucket (50.5 %) and warmer bins reflects lingering uncertainty in exact cooling rates under calm conditions. No significant weather systems or cloud cover are expected to moderate temperatures before dawn, keeping the primary variables wind speed, dew-point depression, and surface radiation the key differentiators among the closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$244終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data indicate a clear, dry night over Ankara on September 5 with light northeasterly winds and high pressure supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30 °C.** Recent model runs from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international guidance converge on an overnight low of 15–16 °C, consistent with September climatology (typical minimum around 14 °C). This places the outcome near the 14–16 °C market levels that together hold roughly 78 % implied probability, while the near-even split between the 13 °C-or-below bucket (50.5 %) and warmer bins reflects lingering uncertainty in exact cooling rates under calm conditions. No significant weather systems or cloud cover are expected to moderate temperatures before dawn, keeping the primary variables wind speed, dew-point depression, and surface radiation the key differentiators among the closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$244終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast models and observational data indicate a clear, dry night over Ankara on September 5 with light northeasterly winds and high pressure supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30 °C.** Recent model runs from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international guidance converge on an overnight low of 15–16 °C, consistent with September climatology (typical minimum around 14 °C). This places the outcome near the 14–16 °C market levels that together hold roughly 78 % implied probability, while the near-even split between the 13 °C-or-below bucket (50.5 %) and warmer bins reflects lingering uncertainty in exact cooling rates under calm conditions. No significant weather systems or cloud cover are expected to moderate temperatures before dawn, keeping the primary variables wind speed, dew-point depression, and surface radiation the key differentiators among the closely matched probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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