Official forecasts from China's meteorological agencies highlight incoming thunderstorms and northeasterly flow on August 26, driving a cooling trend that positions the overnight low near 21°C as the market leader. Persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation are expected to limit radiational cooling, keeping minima from dropping much below recent daily averages of about 20°C while suppressing daytime highs to the mid-20s. Ensemble model spreads reflect uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the minimum settles at 19–20°C or edges toward 22–23°C. Historical August minima in Beijing average near 20°C, providing a baseline against which current convective patterns are evaluated ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の北京の最低気温は?
21°C 29%
23°C 26%
20°C 25%
19°C 25%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
29%
22°C
23%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
23%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
3%
21°C 29%
23°C 26%
20°C 25%
19°C 25%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
29%
22°C
23%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
23%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from China's meteorological agencies highlight incoming thunderstorms and northeasterly flow on August 26, driving a cooling trend that positions the overnight low near 21°C as the market leader. Persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation are expected to limit radiational cooling, keeping minima from dropping much below recent daily averages of about 20°C while suppressing daytime highs to the mid-20s. Ensemble model spreads reflect uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the minimum settles at 19–20°C or edges toward 22–23°C. Historical August minima in Beijing average near 20°C, providing a baseline against which current convective patterns are evaluated ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問