**Current forecasts for Busan on September 6, 2026, center the lowest temperature around 23–24°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** Multiple models, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and Met Office guidance, project an overnight low near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F) under partly cloudy skies with persistent northeasterly winds of 12–18 mph. These conditions moderate radiative cooling over the coastal city, keeping minimums above typical historical September lows of ~21.5°C while preventing sharp drops. Daytime highs are expected near 27–29°C before temperatures fall gradually overnight, with dew points around 18–19°C supporting mild humidity that further limits cooling. Recent model runs show low precipitation risk (under 10–15%) and no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences, reinforcing consensus on this narrow temperature range. Traders appear to weigh the consistency across ensemble forecasts and the stabilizing effect of marine air advection, which narrows uncertainty around the 22–25°C band while assigning lower probability to outliers below 21°C or above 26°C. Updated model guidance on the morning of September 6 will provide the final data for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の釜山の最低気温は?
21℃ 48%
25°C 48%
23°C 44%
29℃以上 43%
19℃以下
7%
20°C
23%
21℃
48%
22°C
27%
23°C
44%
24℃
27%
25°C
48%
26℃
8%
27°C
2%
28℃
3%
29℃以上
43%
21℃ 48%
25°C 48%
23°C 44%
29℃以上 43%
19℃以下
7%
20°C
23%
21℃
48%
22°C
27%
23°C
44%
24℃
27%
25°C
48%
26℃
8%
27°C
2%
28℃
3%
29℃以上
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts for Busan on September 6, 2026, center the lowest temperature around 23–24°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** Multiple models, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and Met Office guidance, project an overnight low near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F) under partly cloudy skies with persistent northeasterly winds of 12–18 mph. These conditions moderate radiative cooling over the coastal city, keeping minimums above typical historical September lows of ~21.5°C while preventing sharp drops. Daytime highs are expected near 27–29°C before temperatures fall gradually overnight, with dew points around 18–19°C supporting mild humidity that further limits cooling. Recent model runs show low precipitation risk (under 10–15%) and no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences, reinforcing consensus on this narrow temperature range. Traders appear to weigh the consistency across ensemble forecasts and the stabilizing effect of marine air advection, which narrows uncertainty around the 22–25°C band while assigning lower probability to outliers below 21°C or above 26°C. Updated model guidance on the morning of September 6 will provide the final data for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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