Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on September 21, 2026, centers overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s under persistent northeasterly winds and lingering cloud cover following recent rainfall and a cool air mass. This setup favors the market's leading 60-61°F bin at 30.5% implied probability, with the 56-57°F outcome at 20% reflecting potential for stronger winds or clearer skies to enhance radiational cooling. Historical September 21 averages near 56°F provide context, while variables such as exact minimum timing, dew points near 55-60°F, and any late-day clearing introduce the observed spread across bins. Upcoming evening observations will clarify resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のシカゴの最低気温は？
9月21日のシカゴの最低気温は？
56〜57°F 40%
60～61°F 40%
62～63°F 24%
58〜59°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
49°F以下
2%
50～51°F
2%
52～53°F
6%
54～55°F
11%
56〜57°F
40%
58〜59°F
13%
60～61°F
30%
62～63°F
24%
64〜65°F
10%
66～67°F
6%
68°F以上
1%
56〜57°F 40%
60～61°F 40%
62～63°F 24%
58〜59°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
49°F以下
$31 Vol.
2%
50～51°F
$36 Vol.
2%
52～53°F
$0 Vol.
6%
54～55°F
$0 Vol.
11%
56〜57°F
$0 Vol.
40%
58〜59°F
$0 Vol.
13%
60～61°F
$11 Vol.
30%
62～63°F
$0 Vol.
24%
64〜65°F
$0 Vol.
10%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
6%
68°F以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on September 21, 2026, centers overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s under persistent northeasterly winds and lingering cloud cover following recent rainfall and a cool air mass. This setup favors the market's leading 60-61°F bin at 30.5% implied probability, with the 56-57°F outcome at 20% reflecting potential for stronger winds or clearer skies to enhance radiational cooling. Historical September 21 averages near 56°F provide context, while variables such as exact minimum timing, dew points near 55-60°F, and any late-day clearing introduce the observed spread across bins. Upcoming evening observations will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$78終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on September 21, 2026, centers overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s under persistent northeasterly winds and lingering cloud cover following recent rainfall and a cool air mass. This setup favors the market's leading 60-61°F bin at 30.5% implied probability, with the 56-57°F outcome at 20% reflecting potential for stronger winds or clearer skies to enhance radiational cooling. Historical September 21 averages near 56°F provide context, while variables such as exact minimum timing, dew points near 55-60°F, and any late-day clearing introduce the observed spread across bins. Upcoming evening observations will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$78終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on September 21, 2026, centers overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s under persistent northeasterly winds and lingering cloud cover following recent rainfall and a cool air mass. This setup favors the market's leading 60-61°F bin at 30.5% implied probability, with the 56-57°F outcome at 20% reflecting potential for stronger winds or clearer skies to enhance radiational cooling. Historical September 21 averages near 56°F provide context, while variables such as exact minimum timing, dew points near 55-60°F, and any late-day clearing introduce the observed spread across bins. Upcoming evening observations will clarify resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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