Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 21, driven by persistent warm, humid conditions under a high-pressure ridge with light northeast winds and only isolated showers or thunderstorms expected overnight. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines where overnight lows rarely dip below the mid-20s Celsius absent stronger monsoon surges or tropical influences. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 88% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on minimal cooling overnight into the 27–28°C range, while lower outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations through the evening of September 20 will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日の香港の最低気温は？
9月21日の香港の最低気温は？
27℃ 88%
26℃ 9%
25°C 5%
22℃以下 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
22℃以下
2%
23℃
1%
24℃
2%
25°C
5%
26℃
9%
27℃
88%
28℃
<1%
29℃
1%
30℃
1%
31°C
1%
32℃以上
<1%
27℃ 88%
26℃ 9%
25°C 5%
22℃以下 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
22℃以下
$37 Vol.
2%
23℃
$424 Vol.
1%
24℃
$234 Vol.
2%
25°C
$469 Vol.
5%
26℃
$914 Vol.
9%
27℃
$2,821 Vol.
88%
28℃
$3,349 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$30 Vol.
1%
30℃
$329 Vol.
1%
31°C
$333 Vol.
1%
32℃以上
$4 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 21, driven by persistent warm, humid conditions under a high-pressure ridge with light northeast winds and only isolated showers or thunderstorms expected overnight. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines where overnight lows rarely dip below the mid-20s Celsius absent stronger monsoon surges or tropical influences. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 88% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on minimal cooling overnight into the 27–28°C range, while lower outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations through the evening of September 20 will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$8,871終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 21, driven by persistent warm, humid conditions under a high-pressure ridge with light northeast winds and only isolated showers or thunderstorms expected overnight. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines where overnight lows rarely dip below the mid-20s Celsius absent stronger monsoon surges or tropical influences. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 88% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on minimal cooling overnight into the 27–28°C range, while lower outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations through the evening of September 20 will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$8,871終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 21, driven by persistent warm, humid conditions under a high-pressure ridge with light northeast winds and only isolated showers or thunderstorms expected overnight. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines where overnight lows rarely dip below the mid-20s Celsius absent stronger monsoon surges or tropical influences. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 88% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on minimal cooling overnight into the 27–28°C range, while lower outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations through the evening of September 20 will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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