Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 9, consistent with northeast monsoon influence moderating overnight cooling while daytime highs reach 31°C under partly cloudy conditions. Real-time observations and model consensus support this level, aligning with sea surface temperatures near 27°C and limited radiative cooling due to humidity and wind patterns. Traders have priced 27°C at 95% implied probability, reflecting high confidence in these verified meteorological data. A realistic challenge would require unforecasted increases in cloud cover or precipitation that enhance cooling beyond current model runs, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable steering flow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日の香港の最低気温は？
9月9日の香港の最低気温は？
27℃ 95%
25℃ 5%
26℃ 4%
24℃ <1%
$16,933 Vol.
$16,933 Vol.
2026/09/09
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
1%
25℃
5%
26℃
4%
27℃
95%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
27℃ 95%
25℃ 5%
26℃ 4%
24℃ <1%
$16,933 Vol.
$16,933 Vol.
2026/09/09
21℃以下
$95 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$1,080 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$632 Vol.
1%
24℃
$306 Vol.
1%
25℃
$1,105 Vol.
5%
26℃
$2,810 Vol.
4%
27℃
$6,191 Vol.
95%
28°C
$1,934 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$2,278 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$260 Vol.
<1%
31℃以上
$241 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 9, consistent with northeast monsoon influence moderating overnight cooling while daytime highs reach 31°C under partly cloudy conditions. Real-time observations and model consensus support this level, aligning with sea surface temperatures near 27°C and limited radiative cooling due to humidity and wind patterns. Traders have priced 27°C at 95% implied probability, reflecting high confidence in these verified meteorological data. A realistic challenge would require unforecasted increases in cloud cover or precipitation that enhance cooling beyond current model runs, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$16,933終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 9, consistent with northeast monsoon influence moderating overnight cooling while daytime highs reach 31°C under partly cloudy conditions. Real-time observations and model consensus support this level, aligning with sea surface temperatures near 27°C and limited radiative cooling due to humidity and wind patterns. Traders have priced 27°C at 95% implied probability, reflecting high confidence in these verified meteorological data. A realistic challenge would require unforecasted increases in cloud cover or precipitation that enhance cooling beyond current model runs, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$16,933終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 9, consistent with northeast monsoon influence moderating overnight cooling while daytime highs reach 31°C under partly cloudy conditions. Real-time observations and model consensus support this level, aligning with sea surface temperatures near 27°C and limited radiative cooling due to humidity and wind patterns. Traders have priced 27°C at 95% implied probability, reflecting high confidence in these verified meteorological data. A realistic challenge would require unforecasted increases in cloud cover or precipitation that enhance cooling beyond current model runs, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable steering flow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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