Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region with clear skies and light northeasterly winds for September 6, supporting overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32°C. This setup typically yields minimum temperatures of 20–22°C in Istanbul, moderated by the adjacent Sea of Marmara, aligning with the clustered 25–26% market prices on the 18–22°C outcomes. The near-even odds on 13°C-or-below versus 23°C-or-higher reflect model ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and potential subtle shifts in wind or humidity, though current consensus favors the middle range given the absence of frontal systems or increased cloud cover. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
9月6日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
13℃以下 100%
14°C 50%
15℃ 50%
16℃ 50%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
13℃以下
100%
14°C
50%
15℃
50%
16℃
50%
17℃
50%
18℃
26%
19℃
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C以上
48%
13℃以下 100%
14°C 50%
15℃ 50%
16℃ 50%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
13℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15℃
$0 Vol.
50%
16℃
$0 Vol.
50%
17℃
$0 Vol.
50%
18℃
$0 Vol.
26%
19℃
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
50%
22°C
$0 Vol.
50%
23°C以上
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region with clear skies and light northeasterly winds for September 6, supporting overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32°C. This setup typically yields minimum temperatures of 20–22°C in Istanbul, moderated by the adjacent Sea of Marmara, aligning with the clustered 25–26% market prices on the 18–22°C outcomes. The near-even odds on 13°C-or-below versus 23°C-or-higher reflect model ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and potential subtle shifts in wind or humidity, though current consensus favors the middle range given the absence of frontal systems or increased cloud cover. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region with clear skies and light northeasterly winds for September 6, supporting overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32°C. This setup typically yields minimum temperatures of 20–22°C in Istanbul, moderated by the adjacent Sea of Marmara, aligning with the clustered 25–26% market prices on the 18–22°C outcomes. The near-even odds on 13°C-or-below versus 23°C-or-higher reflect model ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and potential subtle shifts in wind or humidity, though current consensus favors the middle range given the absence of frontal systems or increased cloud cover. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region with clear skies and light northeasterly winds for September 6, supporting overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32°C. This setup typically yields minimum temperatures of 20–22°C in Istanbul, moderated by the adjacent Sea of Marmara, aligning with the clustered 25–26% market prices on the 18–22°C outcomes. The near-even odds on 13°C-or-below versus 23°C-or-higher reflect model ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and potential subtle shifts in wind or humidity, though current consensus favors the middle range given the absence of frontal systems or increased cloud cover. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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