Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature in Chengdu on September 6 likely peaking at 34–35°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers or scattered rain, which could cap the daily high. This aligns with the recent hot spell featuring afternoon maxima of 33–35°C amid weak southerly flow and moderate humidity levels around 40–55%. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variations in cloud timing or precipitation onset introduce uncertainty between 33°C and 36°C outcomes. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine steering patterns and instability indices ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の成都の最高気温は?
35℃ 32%
34℃ 25%
36℃ 18%
33℃ 14%
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
2%
32℃
5%
33℃
14%
34℃
25%
35℃
32%
36℃
18%
37℃以上
4%
35℃ 32%
34℃ 25%
36℃ 18%
33℃ 14%
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
2%
32℃
5%
33℃
14%
34℃
25%
35℃
32%
36℃
18%
37℃以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature in Chengdu on September 6 likely peaking at 34–35°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers or scattered rain, which could cap the daily high. This aligns with the recent hot spell featuring afternoon maxima of 33–35°C amid weak southerly flow and moderate humidity levels around 40–55%. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variations in cloud timing or precipitation onset introduce uncertainty between 33°C and 36°C outcomes. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine steering patterns and instability indices ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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