Current short-term forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a nighttime low near 24°C for Chengdu on September 6 under clear-to-partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's leading 24°C outcome at 31.5% implied probability. Early September conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature moderating monsoon influences, with daytime highs near 32–33°C giving way to radiative cooling overnight amid moderate humidity levels around 50–60% and light winds. This transitional period typically sees lows 3–5°C above September climatological averages near 19–20°C, though increased cloud cover or early frontal moisture could enhance downward mixing and nudge readings to 22–23°C. Traders appear to weigh these narrow forecast spreads against model consensus ahead of updated NMC runs and local observations in the final 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の成都の最低気温は？
9月6日の成都の最低気温は？
30℃以上 93%
21℃ 49%
25℃ 49%
26°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
20℃以下
40%
21℃
49%
22℃
26%
23℃
28%
24°C
35%
25℃
49%
26°C
49%
27℃
49%
28℃
49%
29℃
2%
30℃以上
93%
30℃以上 93%
21℃ 49%
25℃ 49%
26°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
20℃以下
$0 Vol.
40%
21℃
$0 Vol.
49%
22℃
$0 Vol.
26%
23℃
$0 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
35%
25℃
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27℃
$0 Vol.
49%
28℃
$0 Vol.
49%
29℃
$0 Vol.
2%
30℃以上
$0 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a nighttime low near 24°C for Chengdu on September 6 under clear-to-partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's leading 24°C outcome at 31.5% implied probability. Early September conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature moderating monsoon influences, with daytime highs near 32–33°C giving way to radiative cooling overnight amid moderate humidity levels around 50–60% and light winds. This transitional period typically sees lows 3–5°C above September climatological averages near 19–20°C, though increased cloud cover or early frontal moisture could enhance downward mixing and nudge readings to 22–23°C. Traders appear to weigh these narrow forecast spreads against model consensus ahead of updated NMC runs and local observations in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a nighttime low near 24°C for Chengdu on September 6 under clear-to-partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's leading 24°C outcome at 31.5% implied probability. Early September conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature moderating monsoon influences, with daytime highs near 32–33°C giving way to radiative cooling overnight amid moderate humidity levels around 50–60% and light winds. This transitional period typically sees lows 3–5°C above September climatological averages near 19–20°C, though increased cloud cover or early frontal moisture could enhance downward mixing and nudge readings to 22–23°C. Traders appear to weigh these narrow forecast spreads against model consensus ahead of updated NMC runs and local observations in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent short-term forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a nighttime low near 24°C for Chengdu on September 6 under clear-to-partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's leading 24°C outcome at 31.5% implied probability. Early September conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature moderating monsoon influences, with daytime highs near 32–33°C giving way to radiative cooling overnight amid moderate humidity levels around 50–60% and light winds. This transitional period typically sees lows 3–5°C above September climatological averages near 19–20°C, though increased cloud cover or early frontal moisture could enhance downward mixing and nudge readings to 22–23°C. Traders appear to weigh these narrow forecast spreads against model consensus ahead of updated NMC runs and local observations in the final 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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