**Forecast models for Chongqing on September 4, 2026, show consensus around 34–35°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies driven by high pressure and subsidence in the Sichuan Basin, with limited moisture and light variable winds suppressing stronger diurnal heating or cooling.** Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicates center-city highs near 35–36°C amid ongoing sunny conditions, while global models like those referenced in Yr.no and international services cluster between 32–36°C depending on exact cloud timing and urban heat effects. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 34°C and 35°C reflects traders weighting ensemble agreement against typical early-September variability, where small shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on the official maximum from designated stations, with limited rain risk keeping temperatures elevated relative to climatology.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日の重慶の最高気温は?
35℃ 32%
34℃ 28%
36℃ 16%
33℃ 16%
29℃以下
1%
30℃
2%
31°C
3%
32℃
5%
33℃
16%
34℃
28%
35℃
32%
36℃
16%
37℃
5%
38℃
3%
39℃以上
3%
35℃ 32%
34℃ 28%
36℃ 16%
33℃ 16%
29℃以下
1%
30℃
2%
31°C
3%
32℃
5%
33℃
16%
34℃
28%
35℃
32%
36℃
16%
37℃
5%
38℃
3%
39℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models for Chongqing on September 4, 2026, show consensus around 34–35°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies driven by high pressure and subsidence in the Sichuan Basin, with limited moisture and light variable winds suppressing stronger diurnal heating or cooling.** Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicates center-city highs near 35–36°C amid ongoing sunny conditions, while global models like those referenced in Yr.no and international services cluster between 32–36°C depending on exact cloud timing and urban heat effects. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 34°C and 35°C reflects traders weighting ensemble agreement against typical early-September variability, where small shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on the official maximum from designated stations, with limited rain risk keeping temperatures elevated relative to climatology.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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