Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a minimum of 13°C for London on August 20 amid a cooling trend, with westerly flow advecting fresher maritime air and scattered showers suppressing nighttime radiative cooling. This follows several days of milder 15–17°C lows under higher pressure, but model consensus now favors clearer skies overnight that could allow temperatures to dip toward 12–14°C depending on cloud cover and wind speed. The market's concentration on 15–16°C reflects trader weighting of ensemble variability and historical August minima near 14°C, while lower probabilities on 13°C or below acknowledge potential for modest revisions in the final 48-hour runs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日のロンドンの最低気温は?
15°C 47%
16°C 32%
14°C 16%
12°C 9%
10°C以下
1%
11℃
1%
12°C
9%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
47%
16°C
32%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19℃
1%
20°C以上
<1%
15°C 47%
16°C 32%
14°C 16%
12°C 9%
10°C以下
1%
11℃
1%
12°C
9%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
47%
16°C
32%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19℃
1%
20°C以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a minimum of 13°C for London on August 20 amid a cooling trend, with westerly flow advecting fresher maritime air and scattered showers suppressing nighttime radiative cooling. This follows several days of milder 15–17°C lows under higher pressure, but model consensus now favors clearer skies overnight that could allow temperatures to dip toward 12–14°C depending on cloud cover and wind speed. The market's concentration on 15–16°C reflects trader weighting of ensemble variability and historical August minima near 14°C, while lower probabilities on 13°C or below acknowledge potential for modest revisions in the final 48-hour runs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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