Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London's minimum temperature on September 6 will likely settle between 14–15 °C, driven by a mild southerly flow under high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Partly cloudy conditions overnight and into early morning further moderate temperature drops compared with clearer-sky scenarios, while dew-point values near 11–13 °C support the tight clustering around these levels. Model spread remains modest, reflecting typical late-summer variability and the absence of strong frontal systems, which explains why market-implied odds for 14 °C and 15 °C remain nearly equal ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のロンドンの最低気温は？
9月6日のロンドンの最低気温は？
14℃ 44%
15°C 41%
17℃ 12%
11°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
10℃以下
4%
11°C
8%
12°C
5%
13℃
7%
14℃
44%
15°C
41%
16℃
7%
17℃
12%
18°C
1%
19℃
1%
20℃以上
1%
14℃ 44%
15°C 41%
17℃ 12%
11°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
10℃以下
$0 Vol.
4%
11°C
$0 Vol.
8%
12°C
$56 Vol.
5%
13℃
$76 Vol.
7%
14℃
$1,088 Vol.
44%
15°C
$315 Vol.
41%
16℃
$449 Vol.
7%
17℃
$0 Vol.
12%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19℃
$0 Vol.
1%
20℃以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London's minimum temperature on September 6 will likely settle between 14–15 °C, driven by a mild southerly flow under high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Partly cloudy conditions overnight and into early morning further moderate temperature drops compared with clearer-sky scenarios, while dew-point values near 11–13 °C support the tight clustering around these levels. Model spread remains modest, reflecting typical late-summer variability and the absence of strong frontal systems, which explains why market-implied odds for 14 °C and 15 °C remain nearly equal ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$1,767終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London's minimum temperature on September 6 will likely settle between 14–15 °C, driven by a mild southerly flow under high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Partly cloudy conditions overnight and into early morning further moderate temperature drops compared with clearer-sky scenarios, while dew-point values near 11–13 °C support the tight clustering around these levels. Model spread remains modest, reflecting typical late-summer variability and the absence of strong frontal systems, which explains why market-implied odds for 14 °C and 15 °C remain nearly equal ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,767終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London's minimum temperature on September 6 will likely settle between 14–15 °C, driven by a mild southerly flow under high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Partly cloudy conditions overnight and into early morning further moderate temperature drops compared with clearer-sky scenarios, while dew-point values near 11–13 °C support the tight clustering around these levels. Model spread remains modest, reflecting typical late-summer variability and the absence of strong frontal systems, which explains why market-implied odds for 14 °C and 15 °C remain nearly equal ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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