Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and elevated humidity levels near 85-95%, are the main factors anchoring trader sentiment around 25–26°C lows for Lucknow on September 5. These elements suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation and maintaining high dew points near 25°C, limiting overnight temperature drops. Official forecasts from IMD and other models consistently project a minimum near 26°C amid generally cloudy skies with rain chances of 50-70%, consistent with typical late-monsoon patterns where baseline minima hover around seasonal norms. The tight clustering of probabilities between 25°C and 26°C reflects model consensus on these moisture-driven effects, while lower outcomes would require clearer skies or reduced rainfall not currently indicated. Updated forecasts and overnight observations will provide the next key data points.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のラクナウの最低気温は?
21℃以下 83%
23℃ 42%
22℃ 28%
24℃ 2%
21℃以下
83%
22℃
28%
23℃
42%
24℃
2%
25°C
43%
26℃
51%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
21℃以下 83%
23℃ 42%
22℃ 28%
24℃ 2%
21℃以下
83%
22℃
28%
23℃
42%
24℃
2%
25°C
43%
26℃
51%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and elevated humidity levels near 85-95%, are the main factors anchoring trader sentiment around 25–26°C lows for Lucknow on September 5. These elements suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation and maintaining high dew points near 25°C, limiting overnight temperature drops. Official forecasts from IMD and other models consistently project a minimum near 26°C amid generally cloudy skies with rain chances of 50-70%, consistent with typical late-monsoon patterns where baseline minima hover around seasonal norms. The tight clustering of probabilities between 25°C and 26°C reflects model consensus on these moisture-driven effects, while lower outcomes would require clearer skies or reduced rainfall not currently indicated. Updated forecasts and overnight observations will provide the next key data points.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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