Persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain are sustaining a late-summer heatwave, with official guidance from AEMET and ensemble models projecting September 3 nighttime lows in Madrid near 19–23 °C—well above the 17.5 °C climatological average. Light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover limit radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 36–38 °C further elevate the diurnal minimum through residual heat storage. This setup creates tight differentiation among the closely matched market outcomes around 18–20 °C, as small shifts in forecast timing or boundary-layer mixing could push the recorded low across key thresholds. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and AEMET updates expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のマドリードの最低気温は？
9月3日のマドリードの最低気温は？
25°C 87%
22°C 86%
26°C 84%
23°C 83%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
18°C or below
51%
19°C
46%
20°C
47%
21°C
44%
22°C
86%
23°C
83%
24°C
2%
25°C
87%
26°C
84%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
42%
25°C 87%
22°C 86%
26°C 84%
23°C 83%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
51%
19°C
$0 Vol.
46%
20°C
$0 Vol.
47%
21°C
$0 Vol.
44%
22°C
$5 Vol.
86%
23°C
$5 Vol.
83%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$5 Vol.
87%
26°C
$5 Vol.
84%
27°C
$5 Vol.
8%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain are sustaining a late-summer heatwave, with official guidance from AEMET and ensemble models projecting September 3 nighttime lows in Madrid near 19–23 °C—well above the 17.5 °C climatological average. Light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover limit radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 36–38 °C further elevate the diurnal minimum through residual heat storage. This setup creates tight differentiation among the closely matched market outcomes around 18–20 °C, as small shifts in forecast timing or boundary-layer mixing could push the recorded low across key thresholds. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and AEMET updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$35終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain are sustaining a late-summer heatwave, with official guidance from AEMET and ensemble models projecting September 3 nighttime lows in Madrid near 19–23 °C—well above the 17.5 °C climatological average. Light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover limit radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 36–38 °C further elevate the diurnal minimum through residual heat storage. This setup creates tight differentiation among the closely matched market outcomes around 18–20 °C, as small shifts in forecast timing or boundary-layer mixing could push the recorded low across key thresholds. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and AEMET updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$35終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETPersistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain are sustaining a late-summer heatwave, with official guidance from AEMET and ensemble models projecting September 3 nighttime lows in Madrid near 19–23 °C—well above the 17.5 °C climatological average. Light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover limit radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 36–38 °C further elevate the diurnal minimum through residual heat storage. This setup creates tight differentiation among the closely matched market outcomes around 18–20 °C, as small shifts in forecast timing or boundary-layer mixing could push the recorded low across key thresholds. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and AEMET updates expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問