Persistent warm, humid maritime tropical air over South Florida is anchoring forecast overnight lows near 80°F for Miami on August 3, aligning with National Weather Service guidance and the market’s leading 80-81°F bin at 38.5% implied probability. High dew points and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered convection suppress drops below the seasonal average of roughly 78°F. Recent model runs show minimal variability, with most guidance clustered between 78–82°F and no approaching cold front or tropical system to alter the pattern. Traders therefore assign the highest odds to the narrow 80-81°F range while discounting cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical steering or moisture changes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のマイアミの最低気温は？
8月3日のマイアミの最低気温は？
80〜81°F 39%
78〜79°F 22%
76〜77°F 14%
82〜83°F 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
華氏67度以下
<1%
68～69°F
1%
70～71°F
1%
72〜73°F
2%
74〜75°F
6%
76〜77°F
14%
78〜79°F
22%
80〜81°F
39%
82〜83°F
14%
84～85°F
12%
86°F以上
1%
80〜81°F 39%
78〜79°F 22%
76〜77°F 14%
82〜83°F 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
華氏67度以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
68～69°F
$5 Vol.
1%
70～71°F
$25 Vol.
1%
72〜73°F
$136 Vol.
2%
74〜75°F
$307 Vol.
6%
76〜77°F
$11 Vol.
14%
78〜79°F
$104 Vol.
22%
80〜81°F
$75 Vol.
39%
82〜83°F
$12 Vol.
14%
84～85°F
$72 Vol.
12%
86°F以上
$142 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid maritime tropical air over South Florida is anchoring forecast overnight lows near 80°F for Miami on August 3, aligning with National Weather Service guidance and the market’s leading 80-81°F bin at 38.5% implied probability. High dew points and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered convection suppress drops below the seasonal average of roughly 78°F. Recent model runs show minimal variability, with most guidance clustered between 78–82°F and no approaching cold front or tropical system to alter the pattern. Traders therefore assign the highest odds to the narrow 80-81°F range while discounting cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical steering or moisture changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$890終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid maritime tropical air over South Florida is anchoring forecast overnight lows near 80°F for Miami on August 3, aligning with National Weather Service guidance and the market’s leading 80-81°F bin at 38.5% implied probability. High dew points and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered convection suppress drops below the seasonal average of roughly 78°F. Recent model runs show minimal variability, with most guidance clustered between 78–82°F and no approaching cold front or tropical system to alter the pattern. Traders therefore assign the highest odds to the narrow 80-81°F range while discounting cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical steering or moisture changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$890終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETPersistent warm, humid maritime tropical air over South Florida is anchoring forecast overnight lows near 80°F for Miami on August 3, aligning with National Weather Service guidance and the market’s leading 80-81°F bin at 38.5% implied probability. High dew points and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered convection suppress drops below the seasonal average of roughly 78°F. Recent model runs show minimal variability, with most guidance clustered between 78–82°F and no approaching cold front or tropical system to alter the pattern. Traders therefore assign the highest odds to the narrow 80-81°F range while discounting cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical steering or moisture changes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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