Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月13日のマイアミの最低気温は?
80~81°F 4%
78〜79°F 3.5%
76〜77°F <1%
73°F以下 <1%
$9,087 Vol.
$9,087 Vol.
73°F以下
<1%
74~75°F
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
4%
80~81°F
4%
82~83°F
72%
84〜85°F
<1%
86~87°F
<1%
88~89°F
<1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92°F以上
<1%
80~81°F 4%
78〜79°F 3.5%
76〜77°F <1%
73°F以下 <1%
$9,087 Vol.
$9,087 Vol.
73°F以下
<1%
74~75°F
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
4%
80~81°F
4%
82~83°F
72%
84〜85°F
<1%
86~87°F
<1%
88~89°F
<1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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