Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to Miami's July 14 overnight low falling in the 80–87 °F range because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows a persistent warm, humid air mass with forecast lows near 80–82 °F. Typical July climatology features average lows of 77–78 °F, yet recent model runs reflect elevated minimum temperatures driven by high dew points, limited nocturnal radiational cooling, and light southeast winds. Minor differences among leading bins stem from uncertainty in cloud cover, scattered shower timing, and sea-breeze effects that can shift the final low by a degree or two. New forecast updates from NOAA and local NWS offices tonight will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月14日のマイアミの最低気温は?
80~81°F 44%
78〜79°F 24%
82〜83°F 20%
72~73°F 4.8%
71°F以下
<1%
72~73°F
5%
74~75°F
4%
76~77°F
5%
78〜79°F
24%
80~81°F
36%
82〜83°F
20%
84~85°F
4%
86〜87°F
1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90°F以上
<1%
80~81°F 44%
78〜79°F 24%
82〜83°F 20%
72~73°F 4.8%
71°F以下
<1%
72~73°F
5%
74~75°F
4%
76~77°F
5%
78〜79°F
24%
80~81°F
36%
82〜83°F
20%
84~85°F
4%
86〜87°F
1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to Miami's July 14 overnight low falling in the 80–87 °F range because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows a persistent warm, humid air mass with forecast lows near 80–82 °F. Typical July climatology features average lows of 77–78 °F, yet recent model runs reflect elevated minimum temperatures driven by high dew points, limited nocturnal radiational cooling, and light southeast winds. Minor differences among leading bins stem from uncertainty in cloud cover, scattered shower timing, and sea-breeze effects that can shift the final low by a degree or two. New forecast updates from NOAA and local NWS offices tonight will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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