Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Milan on September 22, driven by persistent high pressure and easterly flow maintaining mild overnight conditions with limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with seasonal norms but sits above historical September lows, creating tight market balance around the 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher brackets as traders weigh model spread and potential late adjustments from steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture. Short-term uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by official stations; fresh model runs and observational updates will likely refine probabilities ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日のミラノの最低気温は?
22℃以上 93%
12℃以下 92%
16°C 40%
15℃ 39%
12℃以下
92%
13℃
17%
14°C
9%
15℃
39%
16°C
40%
17℃
25%
18℃
39%
19℃
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
17%
22℃以上
93%
22℃以上 93%
12℃以下 92%
16°C 40%
15℃ 39%
12℃以下
92%
13℃
17%
14°C
9%
15℃
39%
16°C
40%
17℃
25%
18℃
39%
19℃
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
17%
22℃以上
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Milan on September 22, driven by persistent high pressure and easterly flow maintaining mild overnight conditions with limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with seasonal norms but sits above historical September lows, creating tight market balance around the 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher brackets as traders weigh model spread and potential late adjustments from steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture. Short-term uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by official stations; fresh model runs and observational updates will likely refine probabilities ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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