Current ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models point to overnight lows of 14–16°C in Paris on September 6, shaped by moderate easterly winds advecting drier continental air and variable high cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Recent model runs show a tight cluster around 15°C minima under partly clear conditions, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows sit near 13–15°C, yet slight differences in predicted wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture create spread that traders price into closely matched outcomes near 13°C and 10°C or below. Updated guidance from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のパリの最低気温は？
9月6日のパリの最低気温は？
20℃以上 53%
11℃ 48%
15°C 39%
16°C 33%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
10℃以下
-
11℃
48%
12℃
16%
13°C
34%
14℃
21%
15°C
39%
16°C
33%
17℃
20%
18℃
19%
19°C
8%
20℃以上
53%
20℃以上 53%
11℃ 48%
15°C 39%
16°C 33%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
10℃以下
$2 Vol.
-
11℃
$0 Vol.
48%
12℃
$0 Vol.
16%
13°C
$42 Vol.
34%
14℃
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
33%
17℃
$0 Vol.
20%
18℃
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20℃以上
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models point to overnight lows of 14–16°C in Paris on September 6, shaped by moderate easterly winds advecting drier continental air and variable high cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Recent model runs show a tight cluster around 15°C minima under partly clear conditions, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows sit near 13–15°C, yet slight differences in predicted wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture create spread that traders price into closely matched outcomes near 13°C and 10°C or below. Updated guidance from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$44終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models point to overnight lows of 14–16°C in Paris on September 6, shaped by moderate easterly winds advecting drier continental air and variable high cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Recent model runs show a tight cluster around 15°C minima under partly clear conditions, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows sit near 13–15°C, yet slight differences in predicted wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture create spread that traders price into closely matched outcomes near 13°C and 10°C or below. Updated guidance from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$44終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models point to overnight lows of 14–16°C in Paris on September 6, shaped by moderate easterly winds advecting drier continental air and variable high cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Recent model runs show a tight cluster around 15°C minima under partly clear conditions, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows sit near 13–15°C, yet slight differences in predicted wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture create spread that traders price into closely matched outcomes near 13°C and 10°C or below. Updated guidance from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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