Recent forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and Trip.com indicate minimum temperatures in Qingdao on August 26 will likely reach 24–26°C under mostly cloudy to sunny conditions with southerly winds around 11–17 km/h and high humidity near 70–80%. These values align with August climatology of 23°C average lows moderated by the Yellow Sea's thermal influence, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below (leading at 43% implied probability) may reflect uncertainty around potential increased cloud cover or localized wind shifts reducing heat retention, while clustered probabilities around 23–26°C capture the narrow forecast range typical for coastal summer nights. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of August 25 will refine exact minimum readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の青島の最低気温は?
22℃以下 86%
29°C 40%
24℃ 27%
25℃ 27%
22℃以下
86%
23℃
23%
24℃
27%
25℃
27%
26℃
27%
27℃
23%
28℃
2%
29°C
40%
30°C
10%
31℃
2%
32°C以上
1%
22℃以下 86%
29°C 40%
24℃ 27%
25℃ 27%
22℃以下
86%
23℃
23%
24℃
27%
25℃
27%
26℃
27%
27℃
23%
28℃
2%
29°C
40%
30°C
10%
31℃
2%
32°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and Trip.com indicate minimum temperatures in Qingdao on August 26 will likely reach 24–26°C under mostly cloudy to sunny conditions with southerly winds around 11–17 km/h and high humidity near 70–80%. These values align with August climatology of 23°C average lows moderated by the Yellow Sea's thermal influence, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below (leading at 43% implied probability) may reflect uncertainty around potential increased cloud cover or localized wind shifts reducing heat retention, while clustered probabilities around 23–26°C capture the narrow forecast range typical for coastal summer nights. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of August 25 will refine exact minimum readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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