Recent northerly winds dominating Qingdao since late August, driven by subtropical high repositioning, have initiated a cooling trend that favors lower minimum temperatures on September 1. Coastal radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, combined with historical September averages near 18°C lows, supports trader emphasis on the 16°C-or-below bin at 47% implied probability. Model consensus shows overnight lows ranging 18–22°C, with variability from wind strength and any residual moisture. Upcoming NMC or local updates on steering patterns will likely refine these near-term odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の青島の最低気温は?
16°C or below 96%
18°C 49%
22°C 49%
24°C 49%
16°C or below
96%
17°C
47%
18°C
49%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
49%
23°C
2%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
48%
16°C or below 96%
18°C 49%
22°C 49%
24°C 49%
16°C or below
96%
17°C
47%
18°C
49%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
49%
23°C
2%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent northerly winds dominating Qingdao since late August, driven by subtropical high repositioning, have initiated a cooling trend that favors lower minimum temperatures on September 1. Coastal radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, combined with historical September averages near 18°C lows, supports trader emphasis on the 16°C-or-below bin at 47% implied probability. Model consensus shows overnight lows ranging 18–22°C, with variability from wind strength and any residual moisture. Upcoming NMC or local updates on steering patterns will likely refine these near-term odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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