Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including INMET point to a minimum near 12°C in São Paulo on August 22, driven by the passage of a moderate polar air mass and clear overnight skies favoring radiational cooling, though urban heat island effects at official stations may moderate readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–12°C outcomes because global models such as ECMWF and GFS show only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and wind speeds, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal boundary and local topographic influences. Historical August climatology for the region averages 13–15°C lows, underscoring how even small shifts in advection or cloud cover can alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C and move implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
8月22日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
12°C 56%
14℃以上 30%
9℃ 26%
10℃ 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
4℃以下
<1%
5℃
<1%
6℃
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
16%
9℃
26%
10℃
26%
11℃
30%
12°C
38%
13°C
26%
14℃以上
30%
12°C 56%
14℃以上 30%
9℃ 26%
10℃ 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
4℃以下
$32 Vol.
<1%
5℃
$22 Vol.
<1%
6℃
$37 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$22 Vol.
1%
8°C
$0 Vol.
16%
9℃
$0 Vol.
26%
10℃
$0 Vol.
26%
11℃
$18 Vol.
30%
12°C
$36 Vol.
38%
13°C
$18 Vol.
26%
14℃以上
$0 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including INMET point to a minimum near 12°C in São Paulo on August 22, driven by the passage of a moderate polar air mass and clear overnight skies favoring radiational cooling, though urban heat island effects at official stations may moderate readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–12°C outcomes because global models such as ECMWF and GFS show only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and wind speeds, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal boundary and local topographic influences. Historical August climatology for the region averages 13–15°C lows, underscoring how even small shifts in advection or cloud cover can alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C and move implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
音量
$184終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including INMET point to a minimum near 12°C in São Paulo on August 22, driven by the passage of a moderate polar air mass and clear overnight skies favoring radiational cooling, though urban heat island effects at official stations may moderate readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–12°C outcomes because global models such as ECMWF and GFS show only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and wind speeds, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal boundary and local topographic influences. Historical August climatology for the region averages 13–15°C lows, underscoring how even small shifts in advection or cloud cover can alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C and move implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$184終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from agencies including INMET point to a minimum near 12°C in São Paulo on August 22, driven by the passage of a moderate polar air mass and clear overnight skies favoring radiational cooling, though urban heat island effects at official stations may moderate readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–12°C outcomes because global models such as ECMWF and GFS show only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and wind speeds, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal boundary and local topographic influences. Historical August climatology for the region averages 13–15°C lows, underscoring how even small shifts in advection or cloud cover can alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C and move implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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