Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 14°C as Seoul’s lowest temperature for May 17, driven by real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecast models align on a minimum near this value, consistent with typical mid-May climatology where Seoul’s average daily low ranges 13–15°C. Current surface pressure patterns and dew-point readings further reinforce the expected nighttime dip without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. While urban heat-island effects or minor measurement timing variations could theoretically nudge the official reading by one degree, the tight clustering of verified station data and model consensus leaves scant probability for outcomes outside 14°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のソウルの最低気温は?
14°C 100.0%
12℃以下 <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,781 Vol.
$19,781 Vol.
12℃以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃以上
<1%
14°C 100.0%
12℃以下 <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,781 Vol.
$19,781 Vol.
12℃以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 14°C as Seoul’s lowest temperature for May 17, driven by real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecast models align on a minimum near this value, consistent with typical mid-May climatology where Seoul’s average daily low ranges 13–15°C. Current surface pressure patterns and dew-point readings further reinforce the expected nighttime dip without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. While urban heat-island effects or minor measurement timing variations could theoretically nudge the official reading by one degree, the tight clustering of verified station data and model consensus leaves scant probability for outcomes outside 14°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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