**Current numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight lows near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 11 under stable high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Multiple forecast runs, including GFS-based outputs, show minimum temperatures clustering between 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F) during pre-dawn hours, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where diurnal cooling is moderated by warm sea-surface temperatures and high humidity. Historical September averages for the city place typical minima around 20–23°C, so the current warmer signal reflects the absence of any cool-air advection or increased cloud cover that could enhance radiative cooling. With resolution imminent, traders appear to be weighting the consensus model guidance and recent observed trends over longer-term climatology, producing the elevated implied probability on the 24°C outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のテルアビブの最低気温は？
9月11日のテルアビブの最低気温は？
24℃ 47%
18°C以下 44%
28℃以上 44%
25℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
18°C以下
44%
19℃
6%
20°C
14%
21°C
23%
22℃
12%
23℃
15%
24℃
47%
25℃
40%
26℃
20%
27℃
5%
28℃以上
44%
24℃ 47%
18°C以下 44%
28℃以上 44%
25℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
18°C以下
$0 Vol.
44%
19℃
$0 Vol.
6%
20°C
$0 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
22℃
$7 Vol.
12%
23℃
$0 Vol.
15%
24℃
$53 Vol.
47%
25℃
$0 Vol.
40%
26℃
$0 Vol.
20%
27℃
$0 Vol.
5%
28℃以上
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight lows near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 11 under stable high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.**
Multiple forecast runs, including GFS-based outputs, show minimum temperatures clustering between 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F) during pre-dawn hours, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where diurnal cooling is moderated by warm sea-surface temperatures and high humidity. Historical September averages for the city place typical minima around 20–23°C, so the current warmer signal reflects the absence of any cool-air advection or increased cloud cover that could enhance radiative cooling. With resolution imminent, traders appear to be weighting the consensus model guidance and recent observed trends over longer-term climatology, producing the elevated implied probability on the 24°C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$60終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight lows near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 11 under stable high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.**
Multiple forecast runs, including GFS-based outputs, show minimum temperatures clustering between 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F) during pre-dawn hours, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where diurnal cooling is moderated by warm sea-surface temperatures and high humidity. Historical September averages for the city place typical minima around 20–23°C, so the current warmer signal reflects the absence of any cool-air advection or increased cloud cover that could enhance radiative cooling. With resolution imminent, traders appear to be weighting the consensus model guidance and recent observed trends over longer-term climatology, producing the elevated implied probability on the 24°C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$60終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Current numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight lows near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 11 under stable high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Multiple forecast runs, including GFS-based outputs, show minimum temperatures clustering between 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F) during pre-dawn hours, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where diurnal cooling is moderated by warm sea-surface temperatures and high humidity. Historical September averages for the city place typical minima around 20–23°C, so the current warmer signal reflects the absence of any cool-air advection or increased cloud cover that could enhance radiative cooling. With resolution imminent, traders appear to be weighting the consensus model guidance and recent observed trends over longer-term climatology, producing the elevated implied probability on the 24°C outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問