Trader consensus shows nearly even market-implied odds for extremes below 19°C or above 29°C on the lowest Tel Aviv temperature for September 12, reflecting uncertainty around nocturnal minima despite stable forecasts. Multiple models, including those from the Met Office and regional sources, project overnight lows near 24–25°C under clear skies and light northwesterly winds typical of Mediterranean late-summer high pressure. Factors such as urban heat retention, humidity levels around 70–90%, and minimal cloud cover influence radiative cooling rates, while historical September averages hover near 23–25°C minima. Small shifts in wind or boundary-layer conditions could alter the exact reading, with fresh ensemble updates from numerical weather prediction systems due soon to refine trader assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のテルアビブの最低気温は?
19℃以下 90%
29℃以上 87%
25°C 40%
26℃ 40%
19℃以下
90%
20℃
20%
21°C
20%
22℃
20%
23°C
11%
24°C
26%
25°C
40%
26℃
40%
27℃
38%
28°C
38%
29℃以上
87%
19℃以下 90%
29℃以上 87%
25°C 40%
26℃ 40%
19℃以下
90%
20℃
20%
21°C
20%
22℃
20%
23°C
11%
24°C
26%
25°C
40%
26℃
40%
27℃
38%
28°C
38%
29℃以上
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows nearly even market-implied odds for extremes below 19°C or above 29°C on the lowest Tel Aviv temperature for September 12, reflecting uncertainty around nocturnal minima despite stable forecasts. Multiple models, including those from the Met Office and regional sources, project overnight lows near 24–25°C under clear skies and light northwesterly winds typical of Mediterranean late-summer high pressure. Factors such as urban heat retention, humidity levels around 70–90%, and minimal cloud cover influence radiative cooling rates, while historical September averages hover near 23–25°C minima. Small shifts in wind or boundary-layer conditions could alter the exact reading, with fresh ensemble updates from numerical weather prediction systems due soon to refine trader assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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