Strong Pacific High pressure and above-normal summer heat have kept overnight lows elevated across the Tokyo region, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 25 projecting a minimum of 26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 24–25°C, yet 2026’s persistent warmth—driven by enhanced subtropical ridging—has produced repeated nights above 25°C, supporting trader consensus around 28°C as the implied low. Recent model runs show limited diurnal cooling potential, with urban heat-island effects further moderating nighttime drops. Only a sharp, unforecasted frontal passage or heavy nocturnal rain could realistically push readings toward 26°C or below before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の東京の最低気温は？
8月25日の東京の最低気温は？
28°C 99%
26°C 2%
21°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
新規
$11,577 Vol.
新規
$11,577 Vol.
2026/08/25
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99%
26°C 2%
21°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
新規
$11,577 Vol.
新規
$11,577 Vol.
2026/08/25
21°C or below
$2,394 Vol.
1%
22°C
$178 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,183 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,018 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,588 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,315 Vol.
99%
29°C
$1,288 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$563 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong Pacific High pressure and above-normal summer heat have kept overnight lows elevated across the Tokyo region, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 25 projecting a minimum of 26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 24–25°C, yet 2026’s persistent warmth—driven by enhanced subtropical ridging—has produced repeated nights above 25°C, supporting trader consensus around 28°C as the implied low. Recent model runs show limited diurnal cooling potential, with urban heat-island effects further moderating nighttime drops. Only a sharp, unforecasted frontal passage or heavy nocturnal rain could realistically push readings toward 26°C or below before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$11,577終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong Pacific High pressure and above-normal summer heat have kept overnight lows elevated across the Tokyo region, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 25 projecting a minimum of 26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 24–25°C, yet 2026’s persistent warmth—driven by enhanced subtropical ridging—has produced repeated nights above 25°C, supporting trader consensus around 28°C as the implied low. Recent model runs show limited diurnal cooling potential, with urban heat-island effects further moderating nighttime drops. Only a sharp, unforecasted frontal passage or heavy nocturnal rain could realistically push readings toward 26°C or below before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,577終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETStrong Pacific High pressure and above-normal summer heat have kept overnight lows elevated across the Tokyo region, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 25 projecting a minimum of 26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 24–25°C, yet 2026’s persistent warmth—driven by enhanced subtropical ridging—has produced repeated nights above 25°C, supporting trader consensus around 28°C as the implied low. Recent model runs show limited diurnal cooling potential, with urban heat-island effects further moderating nighttime drops. Only a sharp, unforecasted frontal passage or heavy nocturnal rain could realistically push readings toward 26°C or below before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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