**Forecast models and current observations position the overnight minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 9, 2026, near 14–15°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (15°C at 64%, 14°C at 34%).** Numerical weather prediction guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, shows daytime highs reaching 27–30°C under partly to mostly clear skies with southwesterly flow, followed by cooling overnight as winds shift northwest and cloud cover increases. This setup favors radiative cooling that bottoms out in the mid-teens Celsius during the pre-dawn or early morning hours of September 10 (counted toward the September 9 daily minimum depending on the exact observation window). Recent station data and short-range models have remained stable in this range, with limited spread across ensembles and no significant warm or cold advection expected. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical minima near 10–12°C, so the current mild air mass keeps probabilities concentrated on 14–15°C rather than lower values. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any last-minute changes in cloud cover or wind that could nudge the minimum by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月9日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
14℃ 34%
13℃ 9%
11℃以下 <1%
12℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
11℃以下
1%
12℃
1%
13℃
9%
14℃
34%
15°C
67%
16°C
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃以上
<1%
14℃ 34%
13℃ 9%
11℃以下 <1%
12℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
11℃以下
$75 Vol.
1%
12℃
$64 Vol.
1%
13℃
$36 Vol.
9%
14℃
$18 Vol.
34%
15°C
$253 Vol.
67%
16°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$351 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$229 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$155 Vol.
<1%
21℃以上
$246 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations position the overnight minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 9, 2026, near 14–15°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (15°C at 64%, 14°C at 34%).**
Numerical weather prediction guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, shows daytime highs reaching 27–30°C under partly to mostly clear skies with southwesterly flow, followed by cooling overnight as winds shift northwest and cloud cover increases. This setup favors radiative cooling that bottoms out in the mid-teens Celsius during the pre-dawn or early morning hours of September 10 (counted toward the September 9 daily minimum depending on the exact observation window). Recent station data and short-range models have remained stable in this range, with limited spread across ensembles and no significant warm or cold advection expected. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical minima near 10–12°C, so the current mild air mass keeps probabilities concentrated on 14–15°C rather than lower values. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any last-minute changes in cloud cover or wind that could nudge the minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$1,782終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations position the overnight minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 9, 2026, near 14–15°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (15°C at 64%, 14°C at 34%).**
Numerical weather prediction guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, shows daytime highs reaching 27–30°C under partly to mostly clear skies with southwesterly flow, followed by cooling overnight as winds shift northwest and cloud cover increases. This setup favors radiative cooling that bottoms out in the mid-teens Celsius during the pre-dawn or early morning hours of September 10 (counted toward the September 9 daily minimum depending on the exact observation window). Recent station data and short-range models have remained stable in this range, with limited spread across ensembles and no significant warm or cold advection expected. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical minima near 10–12°C, so the current mild air mass keeps probabilities concentrated on 14–15°C rather than lower values. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any last-minute changes in cloud cover or wind that could nudge the minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,782終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models and current observations position the overnight minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 9, 2026, near 14–15°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (15°C at 64%, 14°C at 34%).** Numerical weather prediction guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, shows daytime highs reaching 27–30°C under partly to mostly clear skies with southwesterly flow, followed by cooling overnight as winds shift northwest and cloud cover increases. This setup favors radiative cooling that bottoms out in the mid-teens Celsius during the pre-dawn or early morning hours of September 10 (counted toward the September 9 daily minimum depending on the exact observation window). Recent station data and short-range models have remained stable in this range, with limited spread across ensembles and no significant warm or cold advection expected. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical minima near 10–12°C, so the current mild air mass keeps probabilities concentrated on 14–15°C rather than lower values. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any last-minute changes in cloud cover or wind that could nudge the minimum by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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