Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan holds a commanding lead in Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a D+11 partisan voting index, driving Polymarket's 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win on November 3, 2026. Trahan boasts $1.68 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary challenger Gaige Clark and Republican nominee Gary Grossi, who has under $5,000. No polls exist, but her 97.5% 2024 general election landslide and unopposed recent primaries underscore the district's reliability. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like a Trahan scandal, primary upset on September 1, or a national GOP wave could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,839 Vol.
$13,839 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$13,839 Vol.
$13,839 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,045 Vol.
93%
共和党
$8,794 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan holds a commanding lead in Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a D+11 partisan voting index, driving Polymarket's 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win on November 3, 2026. Trahan boasts $1.68 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary challenger Gaige Clark and Republican nominee Gary Grossi, who has under $5,000. No polls exist, but her 97.5% 2024 general election landslide and unopposed recent primaries underscore the district's reliability. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like a Trahan scandal, primary upset on September 1, or a national GOP wave could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$13,839終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan holds a commanding lead in Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a D+11 partisan voting index, driving Polymarket's 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win on November 3, 2026. Trahan boasts $1.68 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary challenger Gaige Clark and Republican nominee Gary Grossi, who has under $5,000. No polls exist, but her 97.5% 2024 general election landslide and unopposed recent primaries underscore the district's reliability. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like a Trahan scandal, primary upset on September 1, or a national GOP wave could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,839終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan holds a commanding lead in Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a D+11 partisan voting index, driving Polymarket's 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win on November 3, 2026. Trahan boasts $1.68 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary challenger Gaige Clark and Republican nominee Gary Grossi, who has under $5,000. No polls exist, but her 97.5% 2024 general election landslide and unopposed recent primaries underscore the district's reliability. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like a Trahan scandal, primary upset on September 1, or a national GOP wave could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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