Hsu Shu-hua, the Kuomintang (KMT) incumbent magistrate of Nantou County, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026 local election market. Traders price her re-election prospects at over 90 percent due to her established local profile, prior 56-44 percent victory in 2022 that made her the county’s first female magistrate, and rising satisfaction ratings during her term. Nantou’s consistent KMT-leaning electorate and patterns of support for native candidates reinforce her position against the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) nominee, local dentist Wen Shih-cheng, who trades near single digits. With the election still months away, late developments such as major scandals, sharp national political shifts, or unusually strong opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current indicators point to limited volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2027/06/30
許淑華
91%
ウェン・シーチェン
7%
新規
新規
2027/06/30
許淑華
$1,923 Vol.
91%
ウェン・シーチェン
$858 Vol.
7%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Shu-hua, the Kuomintang (KMT) incumbent magistrate of Nantou County, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026 local election market. Traders price her re-election prospects at over 90 percent due to her established local profile, prior 56-44 percent victory in 2022 that made her the county’s first female magistrate, and rising satisfaction ratings during her term. Nantou’s consistent KMT-leaning electorate and patterns of support for native candidates reinforce her position against the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) nominee, local dentist Wen Shih-cheng, who trades near single digits. With the election still months away, late developments such as major scandals, sharp national political shifts, or unusually strong opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current indicators point to limited volatility.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 8:58 AM ET
音量
$2,781終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Shu-hua, the Kuomintang (KMT) incumbent magistrate of Nantou County, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026 local election market. Traders price her re-election prospects at over 90 percent due to her established local profile, prior 56-44 percent victory in 2022 that made her the county’s first female magistrate, and rising satisfaction ratings during her term. Nantou’s consistent KMT-leaning electorate and patterns of support for native candidates reinforce her position against the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) nominee, local dentist Wen Shih-cheng, who trades near single digits. With the election still months away, late developments such as major scandals, sharp national political shifts, or unusually strong opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current indicators point to limited volatility.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$2,781終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hsu Shu-hua, the Kuomintang (KMT) incumbent magistrate of Nantou County, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026 local election market. Traders price her re-election prospects at over 90 percent due to her established local profile, prior 56-44 percent victory in 2022 that made her the county’s first female magistrate, and rising satisfaction ratings during her term. Nantou’s consistent KMT-leaning electorate and patterns of support for native candidates reinforce her position against the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) nominee, local dentist Wen Shih-cheng, who trades near single digits. With the election still months away, late developments such as major scandals, sharp national political shifts, or unusually strong opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current indicators point to limited volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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