North Korea’s irregular testing schedule, driven by responses to U.S.-South Korea military exercises, internal anniversaries, and diplomatic signals, sustains tight trader consensus around zero or one missile test in August 2026 versus higher counts. Recent activity, including Kim Jong Un’s oversight of tactical ballistic missile and multiple rocket launcher tests in June plus cruise missile evaluations from a new destroyer in early July, underscores ongoing modernization and an “offensive posture” without establishing a predictable monthly rate. Separation could emerge from fresh provocations, sanctions developments, or high-level statements that either deter launches or prompt a short salvo before month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<1 49%
1 47%
3+ 47%
2 25%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
<1
49%
1
47%
2
25%
3+
47%
<1 49%
1 47%
3+ 47%
2 25%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
<1
$20 Vol.
49%
1
$20 Vol.
47%
2
$15 Vol.
25%
3+
$20 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s irregular testing schedule, driven by responses to U.S.-South Korea military exercises, internal anniversaries, and diplomatic signals, sustains tight trader consensus around zero or one missile test in August 2026 versus higher counts. Recent activity, including Kim Jong Un’s oversight of tactical ballistic missile and multiple rocket launcher tests in June plus cruise missile evaluations from a new destroyer in early July, underscores ongoing modernization and an “offensive posture” without establishing a predictable monthly rate. Separation could emerge from fresh provocations, sanctions developments, or high-level statements that either deter launches or prompt a short salvo before month-end.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
音量
$75終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s irregular testing schedule, driven by responses to U.S.-South Korea military exercises, internal anniversaries, and diplomatic signals, sustains tight trader consensus around zero or one missile test in August 2026 versus higher counts. Recent activity, including Kim Jong Un’s oversight of tactical ballistic missile and multiple rocket launcher tests in June plus cruise missile evaluations from a new destroyer in early July, underscores ongoing modernization and an “offensive posture” without establishing a predictable monthly rate. Separation could emerge from fresh provocations, sanctions developments, or high-level statements that either deter launches or prompt a short salvo before month-end.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
音量
$75終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea’s irregular testing schedule, driven by responses to U.S.-South Korea military exercises, internal anniversaries, and diplomatic signals, sustains tight trader consensus around zero or one missile test in August 2026 versus higher counts. Recent activity, including Kim Jong Un’s oversight of tactical ballistic missile and multiple rocket launcher tests in June plus cruise missile evaluations from a new destroyer in early July, underscores ongoing modernization and an “offensive posture” without establishing a predictable monthly rate. Separation could emerge from fresh provocations, sanctions developments, or high-level statements that either deter launches or prompt a short salvo before month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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