Recent developments center on 2025 referrals by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard to the Department of Justice concerning Obama-era handling of the Russia investigation, followed by a DOJ strike force review and limited grand jury activity into related allegations. President Trump has publicly accused Obama of treason and shared related material, yet no indictments, warrants, or arrests have resulted. Prosecuting a former president involves high legal thresholds, institutional processes, and evidentiary standards that have not been met. With the resolution deadline at the end of 2026, traders view the remaining timeline and absence of formal charges as significant barriers, producing the strong consensus reflected in current pricing for no arrest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,608 Vol.
$14,608 Vol.
2026/12/31
$14,608 Vol.
$14,608 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments center on 2025 referrals by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard to the Department of Justice concerning Obama-era handling of the Russia investigation, followed by a DOJ strike force review and limited grand jury activity into related allegations. President Trump has publicly accused Obama of treason and shared related material, yet no indictments, warrants, or arrests have resulted. Prosecuting a former president involves high legal thresholds, institutional processes, and evidentiary standards that have not been met. With the resolution deadline at the end of 2026, traders view the remaining timeline and absence of formal charges as significant barriers, producing the strong consensus reflected in current pricing for no arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ET
音量
$14,608終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments center on 2025 referrals by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard to the Department of Justice concerning Obama-era handling of the Russia investigation, followed by a DOJ strike force review and limited grand jury activity into related allegations. President Trump has publicly accused Obama of treason and shared related material, yet no indictments, warrants, or arrests have resulted. Prosecuting a former president involves high legal thresholds, institutional processes, and evidentiary standards that have not been met. With the resolution deadline at the end of 2026, traders view the remaining timeline and absence of formal charges as significant barriers, producing the strong consensus reflected in current pricing for no arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$14,608終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments center on 2025 referrals by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard to the Department of Justice concerning Obama-era handling of the Russia investigation, followed by a DOJ strike force review and limited grand jury activity into related allegations. President Trump has publicly accused Obama of treason and shared related material, yet no indictments, warrants, or arrests have resulted. Prosecuting a former president involves high legal thresholds, institutional processes, and evidentiary standards that have not been met. With the resolution deadline at the end of 2026, traders view the remaining timeline and absence of formal charges as significant barriers, producing the strong consensus reflected in current pricing for no arrest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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