Christopher Nolan holds the strongest trader consensus at 66% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Director, driven by his proven awards track record and anticipated momentum from his next major release. The broad field of candidates clustered around 50% reflects the early awards cycle, with limited precursor results or guild signals available to narrow the field ahead of 2026 film debuts. Lower odds for Denis Villeneuve at 14%, Alejandro G. Iñárritu at 10%, and others highlight the absence of dominant campaign narratives or festival buzz so far. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and box-office tracking that could quickly reshape market-implied odds as critical reception and industry sentiment solidify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：最優秀監督賞受賞
オスカー2027 ：最優秀監督賞受賞
クリストファー・ノーラン 66%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ 14%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ 10%
ジェシー・アイゼンバーグ 5.6%
新規
新規
2027/03/14
クリストファー・ノーラン
66%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ
14%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ
10%
ジェシー・アイゼンバーグ
6%
アーロン・ソーキン
5%
マーティン・マクドナー
3%
フィル・ロードまたはクリストファー・ミラー
3%
ランス・オッペンハイム
3%
オリヴィア・ワイルド
1%
スティーヴン・スピルバーグ
1%
デヴィッド・O・ラッセル
<1%
ジョーダン・ファーストマン
<1%
ピーター・ファレリー
5%
バッサム・タリク
<1%
クリストファー・ノーラン 66%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ 14%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ 10%
ジェシー・アイゼンバーグ 5.6%
新規
新規
2027/03/14
クリストファー・ノーラン
$2,789 Vol.
66%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ
$253 Vol.
14%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ
$361 Vol.
10%
ジェシー・アイゼンバーグ
$198 Vol.
6%
アーロン・ソーキン
$154 Vol.
5%
マーティン・マクドナー
$204 Vol.
3%
フィル・ロードまたはクリストファー・ミラー
$192 Vol.
3%
ランス・オッペンハイム
$658 Vol.
3%
オリヴィア・ワイルド
$210 Vol.
1%
スティーヴン・スピルバーグ
$208 Vol.
1%
デヴィッド・O・ラッセル
$139 Vol.
<1%
ジョーダン・ファーストマン
$148 Vol.
<1%
ピーター・ファレリー
$142 Vol.
5%
バッサム・タリク
$143 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan holds the strongest trader consensus at 66% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Director, driven by his proven awards track record and anticipated momentum from his next major release. The broad field of candidates clustered around 50% reflects the early awards cycle, with limited precursor results or guild signals available to narrow the field ahead of 2026 film debuts. Lower odds for Denis Villeneuve at 14%, Alejandro G. Iñárritu at 10%, and others highlight the absence of dominant campaign narratives or festival buzz so far. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and box-office tracking that could quickly reshape market-implied odds as critical reception and industry sentiment solidify.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
音量
$5,800終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan holds the strongest trader consensus at 66% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Director, driven by his proven awards track record and anticipated momentum from his next major release. The broad field of candidates clustered around 50% reflects the early awards cycle, with limited precursor results or guild signals available to narrow the field ahead of 2026 film debuts. Lower odds for Denis Villeneuve at 14%, Alejandro G. Iñárritu at 10%, and others highlight the absence of dominant campaign narratives or festival buzz so far. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and box-office tracking that could quickly reshape market-implied odds as critical reception and industry sentiment solidify.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,800終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan holds the strongest trader consensus at 66% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Director, driven by his proven awards track record and anticipated momentum from his next major release. The broad field of candidates clustered around 50% reflects the early awards cycle, with limited precursor results or guild signals available to narrow the field ahead of 2026 film debuts. Lower odds for Denis Villeneuve at 14%, Alejandro G. Iñárritu at 10%, and others highlight the absence of dominant campaign narratives or festival buzz so far. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and box-office tracking that could quickly reshape market-implied odds as critical reception and industry sentiment solidify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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