Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 7th Congressional District, rated Solid R by the Cook Political Report, after defeating Democrat Mal Hyman decisively in 2024 amid a Trump +26 margin. Traders price a GOP victory at 89.5%, reflecting the district's deep-red partisan lean, Fry's unchallenged path through the June 9 Republican primary—where he filed for reelection on March 16—and fundraising dominance estimated at $1.65 million. Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran and presumptive nominee, campaigns actively but faces historical barriers in this safe seat. Recent redistricting debates in the state legislature, including House votes last week to advance map changes, prompted Fry's May 7 pledge to run regardless of boundary shifts, steadying market sentiment ahead of primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
11%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,876 Vol.
90%
民主党
$1,632 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 7th Congressional District, rated Solid R by the Cook Political Report, after defeating Democrat Mal Hyman decisively in 2024 amid a Trump +26 margin. Traders price a GOP victory at 89.5%, reflecting the district's deep-red partisan lean, Fry's unchallenged path through the June 9 Republican primary—where he filed for reelection on March 16—and fundraising dominance estimated at $1.65 million. Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran and presumptive nominee, campaigns actively but faces historical barriers in this safe seat. Recent redistricting debates in the state legislature, including House votes last week to advance map changes, prompted Fry's May 7 pledge to run regardless of boundary shifts, steadying market sentiment ahead of primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$5,508終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 7th Congressional District, rated Solid R by the Cook Political Report, after defeating Democrat Mal Hyman decisively in 2024 amid a Trump +26 margin. Traders price a GOP victory at 89.5%, reflecting the district's deep-red partisan lean, Fry's unchallenged path through the June 9 Republican primary—where he filed for reelection on March 16—and fundraising dominance estimated at $1.65 million. Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran and presumptive nominee, campaigns actively but faces historical barriers in this safe seat. Recent redistricting debates in the state legislature, including House votes last week to advance map changes, prompted Fry's May 7 pledge to run regardless of boundary shifts, steadying market sentiment ahead of primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,508終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 7th Congressional District, rated Solid R by the Cook Political Report, after defeating Democrat Mal Hyman decisively in 2024 amid a Trump +26 margin. Traders price a GOP victory at 89.5%, reflecting the district's deep-red partisan lean, Fry's unchallenged path through the June 9 Republican primary—where he filed for reelection on March 16—and fundraising dominance estimated at $1.65 million. Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran and presumptive nominee, campaigns actively but faces historical barriers in this safe seat. Recent redistricting debates in the state legislature, including House votes last week to advance map changes, prompted Fry's May 7 pledge to run regardless of boundary shifts, steadying market sentiment ahead of primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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