SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which IPO'd at $135 in June 2026 before peaking near $226 and retreating to around $108 as of August 1, face elevated uncertainty for the week of August 3 close amid post-listing volatility and stretched valuations near 50x projected 2026 revenue. The primary near-term catalysts are the company's first earnings release on August 4 and the August 6 expiration of insider lockups, both of which could trigger selling pressure or volatility depending on Starlink growth metrics, Starship progress, and any AI-related updates. With outcomes across sub-$85 to above-$130 bands showing nearly identical 47-48% implied probabilities, trader consensus reflects balanced risks from potential downside on lockup-related supply versus upside if results exceed high expectations, consistent with historical post-IPO patterns where multiples compress absent clear execution evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$90-$95 48%
<$85 48%
$95-$100 48%
$100-$105 48%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
<$85
48%
$85-$90
44%
$90-$95
48%
$95-$100
48%
$100-$105
48%
$105-$110
45%
$110-$115
44%
$115-$120
48%
$120-$125
48%
$125-$130
48%
>$130
44%
$90-$95 48%
<$85 48%
$95-$100 48%
$100-$105 48%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
<$85
$0 Vol.
48%
$85-$90
$0 Vol.
44%
$90-$95
$0 Vol.
48%
$95-$100
$0 Vol.
48%
$100-$105
$0 Vol.
48%
$105-$110
$0 Vol.
45%
$110-$115
$0 Vol.
44%
$115-$120
$0 Vol.
48%
$120-$125
$0 Vol.
48%
$125-$130
$0 Vol.
48%
>$130
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which IPO'd at $135 in June 2026 before peaking near $226 and retreating to around $108 as of August 1, face elevated uncertainty for the week of August 3 close amid post-listing volatility and stretched valuations near 50x projected 2026 revenue. The primary near-term catalysts are the company's first earnings release on August 4 and the August 6 expiration of insider lockups, both of which could trigger selling pressure or volatility depending on Starlink growth metrics, Starship progress, and any AI-related updates. With outcomes across sub-$85 to above-$130 bands showing nearly identical 47-48% implied probabilities, trader consensus reflects balanced risks from potential downside on lockup-related supply versus upside if results exceed high expectations, consistent with historical post-IPO patterns where multiples compress absent clear execution evidence.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which IPO'd at $135 in June 2026 before peaking near $226 and retreating to around $108 as of August 1, face elevated uncertainty for the week of August 3 close amid post-listing volatility and stretched valuations near 50x projected 2026 revenue. The primary near-term catalysts are the company's first earnings release on August 4 and the August 6 expiration of insider lockups, both of which could trigger selling pressure or volatility depending on Starlink growth metrics, Starship progress, and any AI-related updates. With outcomes across sub-$85 to above-$130 bands showing nearly identical 47-48% implied probabilities, trader consensus reflects balanced risks from potential downside on lockup-related supply versus upside if results exceed high expectations, consistent with historical post-IPO patterns where multiples compress absent clear execution evidence.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ETSpaceX (SPCX) shares, which IPO'd at $135 in June 2026 before peaking near $226 and retreating to around $108 as of August 1, face elevated uncertainty for the week of August 3 close amid post-listing volatility and stretched valuations near 50x projected 2026 revenue. The primary near-term catalysts are the company's first earnings release on August 4 and the August 6 expiration of insider lockups, both of which could trigger selling pressure or volatility depending on Starlink growth metrics, Starship progress, and any AI-related updates. With outcomes across sub-$85 to above-$130 bands showing nearly identical 47-48% implied probabilities, trader consensus reflects balanced risks from potential downside on lockup-related supply versus upside if results exceed high expectations, consistent with historical post-IPO patterns where multiples compress absent clear execution evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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