Spider-Man: Brand New Day enters its fourth weekend with strong momentum from a record-setting $70 million third frame, the second-best ever behind only The Force Awakens, pushing its domestic total past $786 million after just 17 days. Traders are pricing the most likely range at 35-38 million (49.5% implied probability), reflecting typical 45-55% drops for event films at this stage combined with back-to-school timing that historically softens midweek and family attendance. The film's exceptional legs—already ahead of prior MCU benchmarks—support resistance to steeper declines, while limited new competition and sustained audience interest keep 38-41 million in play. Next tracking updates and early Friday estimates will likely refine these ranges ahead of the August 21-23 frame.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」4 thウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」4 thウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
3,500万～3,800万 50%
3,800万～4,100万 38%
4,100万～4,400万 37%
3,500万未満 35%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
3,500万未満
35%
3,500万～3,800万
50%
3,800万～4,100万
38%
4,100万～4,400万
37%
4,400万ドル以上
18%
3,500万～3,800万 50%
3,800万～4,100万 38%
4,100万～4,400万 37%
3,500万未満 35%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
3,500万未満
$0 Vol.
35%
3,500万～3,800万
$0 Vol.
50%
3,800万～4,100万
$0 Vol.
38%
4,100万～4,400万
$0 Vol.
37%
4,400万ドル以上
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day enters its fourth weekend with strong momentum from a record-setting $70 million third frame, the second-best ever behind only The Force Awakens, pushing its domestic total past $786 million after just 17 days. Traders are pricing the most likely range at 35-38 million (49.5% implied probability), reflecting typical 45-55% drops for event films at this stage combined with back-to-school timing that historically softens midweek and family attendance. The film's exceptional legs—already ahead of prior MCU benchmarks—support resistance to steeper declines, while limited new competition and sustained audience interest keep 38-41 million in play. Next tracking updates and early Friday estimates will likely refine these ranges ahead of the August 21-23 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day enters its fourth weekend with strong momentum from a record-setting $70 million third frame, the second-best ever behind only The Force Awakens, pushing its domestic total past $786 million after just 17 days. Traders are pricing the most likely range at 35-38 million (49.5% implied probability), reflecting typical 45-55% drops for event films at this stage combined with back-to-school timing that historically softens midweek and family attendance. The film's exceptional legs—already ahead of prior MCU benchmarks—support resistance to steeper declines, while limited new competition and sustained audience interest keep 38-41 million in play. Next tracking updates and early Friday estimates will likely refine these ranges ahead of the August 21-23 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day enters its fourth weekend with strong momentum from a record-setting $70 million third frame, the second-best ever behind only The Force Awakens, pushing its domestic total past $786 million after just 17 days. Traders are pricing the most likely range at 35-38 million (49.5% implied probability), reflecting typical 45-55% drops for event films at this stage combined with back-to-school timing that historically softens midweek and family attendance. The film's exceptional legs—already ahead of prior MCU benchmarks—support resistance to steeper declines, while limited new competition and sustained audience interest keep 38-41 million in play. Next tracking updates and early Friday estimates will likely refine these ranges ahead of the August 21-23 frame.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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