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icon for トレンチン州知事選挙の勝者

トレンチン州知事選挙の勝者

icon for トレンチン州知事選挙の勝者

トレンチン州知事選挙の勝者

Polymarket
新規
Polymarket
新規
icon for ヤロスラフ・バシュカ

ヤロスラフ・バシュカ

$754 Vol.

96%

icon for ナタリア・スヴィトコヴァ

ナタリア・スヴィトコヴァ

$244 Vol.

4%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).Jaroslav Baška maintains a commanding position in the October 24, 2026, Trenčín Region gubernatorial election due to his incumbency since 2013, strong performance with roughly 67 percent in 2022, and a broad pre-election coalition that includes Smer-SD, Hlas-SD, SNS, and Republika. This alliance enables a joint slate for the regional council and draws on the area's traditional support base in Považie and upper Nitra. Baška's pragmatic approach, emphasis on infrastructure and EU-funded projects, and grassroots "Tour de Baška" campaign visiting all 276 municipalities reinforce trader consensus around his lead. The unified opposition backing Natália Svítková has not shifted the implied probability in recent reporting, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected scandals could still alter outcomes before election day.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
音量
$998
終了日
2026/10/24
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 1:50 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).Jaroslav Baška maintains a commanding position in the October 24, 2026, Trenčín Region gubernatorial election due to his incumbency since 2013, strong performance with roughly 67 percent in 2022, and a broad pre-election coalition that includes Smer-SD, Hlas-SD, SNS, and Republika. This alliance enables a joint slate for the regional council and draws on the area's traditional support base in Považie and upper Nitra. Baška's pragmatic approach, emphasis on infrastructure and EU-funded projects, and grassroots "Tour de Baška" campaign visiting all 276 municipalities reinforce trader consensus around his lead. The unified opposition backing Natália Svítková has not shifted the implied probability in recent reporting, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected scandals could still alter outcomes before election day.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
音量
$998
終了日
2026/10/24
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 1:50 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

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よくある質問

「トレンチン州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ヤロスラフ・バシュカ」で96%、次いで「ナタリア・スヴィトコヴァ」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トレンチン州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 31, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トレンチン州知事選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トレンチン州知事選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ヤロスラフ・バシュカ」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ナタリア・スヴィトコヴァ」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トレンチン州知事選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。