Trump’s active second term, which began with his January 2025 inauguration and continues without interruption into late August 2026, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus on “No.” Republican majorities in Congress have blocked advancement of recent impeachment resolutions, including one introduced August 24, 2026, that remains stalled in committee with minimal prospects. Prior calls for removal via the 25th Amendment or additional articles have likewise failed to gain traction, consistent with historical patterns requiring two-thirds Senate support for conviction. Ongoing policy actions—executive orders on voting, immigration, tariffs, and foreign affairs—along with scheduled midterm preparations further signal institutional continuity through the end of 2026 and into 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
$11,200,006 Vol.
$11,200,006 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
7% 確率
$11,200,006 Vol.
$11,200,006 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s active second term, which began with his January 2025 inauguration and continues without interruption into late August 2026, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus on “No.” Republican majorities in Congress have blocked advancement of recent impeachment resolutions, including one introduced August 24, 2026, that remains stalled in committee with minimal prospects. Prior calls for removal via the 25th Amendment or additional articles have likewise failed to gain traction, consistent with historical patterns requiring two-thirds Senate support for conviction. Ongoing policy actions—executive orders on voting, immigration, tariffs, and foreign affairs—along with scheduled midterm preparations further signal institutional continuity through the end of 2026 and into 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
音量
$11,200,006終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s active second term, which began with his January 2025 inauguration and continues without interruption into late August 2026, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus on “No.” Republican majorities in Congress have blocked advancement of recent impeachment resolutions, including one introduced August 24, 2026, that remains stalled in committee with minimal prospects. Prior calls for removal via the 25th Amendment or additional articles have likewise failed to gain traction, consistent with historical patterns requiring two-thirds Senate support for conviction. Ongoing policy actions—executive orders on voting, immigration, tariffs, and foreign affairs—along with scheduled midterm preparations further signal institutional continuity through the end of 2026 and into 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$11,200,006終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Trump’s active second term, which began with his January 2025 inauguration and continues without interruption into late August 2026, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus on “No.” Republican majorities in Congress have blocked advancement of recent impeachment resolutions, including one introduced August 24, 2026, that remains stalled in committee with minimal prospects. Prior calls for removal via the 25th Amendment or additional articles have likewise failed to gain traction, consistent with historical patterns requiring two-thirds Senate support for conviction. Ongoing policy actions—executive orders on voting, immigration, tariffs, and foreign affairs—along with scheduled midterm preparations further signal institutional continuity through the end of 2026 and into 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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