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icon for Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

icon for Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

4% 確率
Polymarket
新規
4% 確率
Polymarket
新規
On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's Justice Department established a roughly $1.8 billion "anti-weaponization" settlement fund in May 2026 tied to resolving an IRS lawsuit, prompting pardoned January 6 defendants to file or prepare claims for compensation.** Immediate lawsuits from Capitol Police officers, bipartisan congressional efforts to bar such payouts, and court halts on implementation created major procedural barriers. The fund faced swift bipartisan opposition and was paused amid legal challenges, with the DOJ retaining broad discretion but subject to transparency rules and pending restrictions. No payments to January 6 participants have been announced, and resolution requires an official DOJ disbursement announcement by the July 31, 2026 deadline. Traders view these institutional and litigation hurdles as making near-term approval improbable, sustaining strong consensus against a payout.

On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.

Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$3,984
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.
On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's Justice Department established a roughly $1.8 billion "anti-weaponization" settlement fund in May 2026 tied to resolving an IRS lawsuit, prompting pardoned January 6 defendants to file or prepare claims for compensation.** Immediate lawsuits from Capitol Police officers, bipartisan congressional efforts to bar such payouts, and court halts on implementation created major procedural barriers. The fund faced swift bipartisan opposition and was paused amid legal challenges, with the DOJ retaining broad discretion but subject to transparency rules and pending restrictions. No payments to January 6 participants have been announced, and resolution requires an official DOJ disbursement announcement by the July 31, 2026 deadline. Traders view these institutional and litigation hurdles as making near-term approval improbable, sustaining strong consensus against a payout.

On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.

Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$3,984
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して4%です。例えば、「はい」が4¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を4%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 21, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して4%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を4%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。