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icon for トランプ氏がニューメキシコ州をニューアメリカに改名したのは... ?

トランプ氏がニューメキシコ州をニューアメリカに改名したのは... ?

icon for トランプ氏がニューメキシコ州をニューアメリカに改名したのは... ?

トランプ氏がニューメキシコ州をニューアメリカに改名したのは... ?

$123,786 Vol.

2026/09/30
Polymarket

$123,786 Vol.

Polymarket

9月30日

$86,251 Vol.

1%

12月31日

$37,535 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, presidential memorandum, or proclamation, signs any bill into law, or otherwise formally directs the federal government to rename New Mexico to "New America" or any other name including "America" by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A formal Trump administration directive to rename New Mexico, including through the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "rename" includes directing the federal government to use the new name when referring to the state, regardless of whether the state's legal name is changed. Statements, social media posts, or expressions of support for renaming New Mexico will not qualify unless accompanied by a qualifying formal action or directive. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s recent Truth Social posts and AI-generated memes suggesting New Mexico be renamed “New America” have fueled the market, following his executive orders renaming the Gulf of Mexico and Lake Ontario with “America” references. State leaders, including Democratic Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham, immediately rejected the idea, noting the name is enshrined in New Mexico’s constitution and predates the United States. Any change would require a state constitutional amendment approved by the legislature and voters, steps the state’s Democratic-controlled institutions have signaled no interest in pursuing. Trump lacks unilateral authority over state names, unlike federal geographic features. With no legislative or executive pathway active as of mid-September 2026 and strong local opposition, traders assign low implied probability to formal action by year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, presidential memorandum, or proclamation, signs any bill into law, or otherwise formally directs the federal government to rename New Mexico to "New America" or any other name including "America" by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A formal Trump administration directive to rename New Mexico, including through the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, will qualify.

For the purposes of this market, "rename" includes directing the federal government to use the new name when referring to the state, regardless of whether the state's legal name is changed.

Statements, social media posts, or expressions of support for renaming New Mexico will not qualify unless accompanied by a qualifying formal action or directive.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, presidential memorandum, or proclamation, signs any bill into law, or otherwise formally directs the federal government to rename New Mexico to "New America" or any other name including "America" by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A formal Trump administration directive to rename New Mexico, including through the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "rename" includes directing the federal government to use the new name when referring to the state, regardless of whether the state's legal name is changed. Statements, social media posts, or expressions of support for renaming New Mexico will not qualify unless accompanied by a qualifying formal action or directive. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$123,786
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:24 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, presidential memorandum, or proclamation, signs any bill into law, or otherwise formally directs the federal government to rename New Mexico to "New America" or any other name including "America" by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A formal Trump administration directive to rename New Mexico, including through the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "rename" includes directing the federal government to use the new name when referring to the state, regardless of whether the state's legal name is changed. Statements, social media posts, or expressions of support for renaming New Mexico will not qualify unless accompanied by a qualifying formal action or directive. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s recent Truth Social posts and AI-generated memes suggesting New Mexico be renamed “New America” have fueled the market, following his executive orders renaming the Gulf of Mexico and Lake Ontario with “America” references. State leaders, including Democratic Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham, immediately rejected the idea, noting the name is enshrined in New Mexico’s constitution and predates the United States. Any change would require a state constitutional amendment approved by the legislature and voters, steps the state’s Democratic-controlled institutions have signaled no interest in pursuing. Trump lacks unilateral authority over state names, unlike federal geographic features. With no legislative or executive pathway active as of mid-September 2026 and strong local opposition, traders assign low implied probability to formal action by year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, presidential memorandum, or proclamation, signs any bill into law, or otherwise formally directs the federal government to rename New Mexico to "New America" or any other name including "America" by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A formal Trump administration directive to rename New Mexico, including through the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, will qualify.

For the purposes of this market, "rename" includes directing the federal government to use the new name when referring to the state, regardless of whether the state's legal name is changed.

Statements, social media posts, or expressions of support for renaming New Mexico will not qualify unless accompanied by a qualifying formal action or directive.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, presidential memorandum, or proclamation, signs any bill into law, or otherwise formally directs the federal government to rename New Mexico to "New America" or any other name including "America" by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A formal Trump administration directive to rename New Mexico, including through the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "rename" includes directing the federal government to use the new name when referring to the state, regardless of whether the state's legal name is changed. Statements, social media posts, or expressions of support for renaming New Mexico will not qualify unless accompanied by a qualifying formal action or directive. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$123,786
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:24 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ氏がニューメキシコ州をニューアメリカに改名したのは... ?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で6%、次いで「9月30日」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、6¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に6%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ氏がニューメキシコ州をニューアメリカに改名したのは... ?」は$123.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 7, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ氏がニューメキシコ州をニューアメリカに改名したのは... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「トランプ氏がニューメキシコ州をニューアメリカに改名したのは... ?」の現在のリーダーは「12月31日」でわずか6%、「9月30日」が1%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ氏がニューメキシコ州をニューアメリカに改名したのは... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。