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icon for Tshisekediは2026年12月31日までにコンゴ民主共和国の大統領に就任しますか?

Tshisekediは2026年12月31日までにコンゴ民主共和国の大統領に就任しますか?

icon for Tshisekediは2026年12月31日までにコンゴ民主共和国の大統領に就任しますか?

Tshisekediは2026年12月31日までにコンゴ民主共和国の大統領に就任しますか?

はい

9% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

9% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Félix Tshisekedi of the Democratic Republic of the Congo holds a second constitutional term scheduled to conclude in December 2028 following his 2023 re-election. Recent statements from a May 2026 Kinshasa press conference underscore his openness to a potential third term only through popular referendum while warning that eastern conflict with M23 rebels could delay the next presidential vote. These developments reinforce trader expectations that no early exit will occur by the end of 2026, as no constitutional challenges, opposition-led transitions, or institutional pressures have emerged to shorten his mandate. Ongoing security concerns in the east continue to shape domestic priorities without altering the current term structure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$9,613
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Félix Tshisekedi of the Democratic Republic of the Congo holds a second constitutional term scheduled to conclude in December 2028 following his 2023 re-election. Recent statements from a May 2026 Kinshasa press conference underscore his openness to a potential third term only through popular referendum while warning that eastern conflict with M23 rebels could delay the next presidential vote. These developments reinforce trader expectations that no early exit will occur by the end of 2026, as no constitutional challenges, opposition-led transitions, or institutional pressures have emerged to shorten his mandate. Ongoing security concerns in the east continue to shape domestic priorities without altering the current term structure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$9,613
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Tshisekediは2026年12月31日までにコンゴ民主共和国の大統領に就任しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年12月31日までにチセケディがコンゴ民主共和国の大統領を退任するか?」で9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、9¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に9%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Tshisekediは2026年12月31日までにコンゴ民主共和国の大統領に就任しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Dec 12, 2025開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Tshisekediは2026年12月31日までにコンゴ民主共和国の大統領に就任しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「Tshisekediは2026年12月31日までにコンゴ民主共和国の大統領に就任しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「2026年12月31日までにチセケディがコンゴ民主共和国の大統領を退任するか?」でわずか9%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Tshisekediは2026年12月31日までにコンゴ民主共和国の大統領に就任しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。