The district's pronounced Republican tilt and the presence of incumbent Brandon Gill anchor trader consensus around an 87.5% Republican outcome for the November 2026 general election. Gill secured the GOP nomination with over 91% in the March primary, while Democrat Steven Shook advanced from a narrower Democratic contest in a seat redrawn to favor Republicans by double-digit margins on recent presidential voting patterns. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major turnout shifts or late developments. With the general election roughly 11 weeks away, traders weigh the district's established partisan baseline and primary results as the dominant signals shaping current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,064 Vol.
$24,064 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
88%
民主党
10%
$24,064 Vol.
$24,064 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$16,171 Vol.
88%
民主党
$7,893 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Republican tilt and the presence of incumbent Brandon Gill anchor trader consensus around an 87.5% Republican outcome for the November 2026 general election. Gill secured the GOP nomination with over 91% in the March primary, while Democrat Steven Shook advanced from a narrower Democratic contest in a seat redrawn to favor Republicans by double-digit margins on recent presidential voting patterns. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major turnout shifts or late developments. With the general election roughly 11 weeks away, traders weigh the district's established partisan baseline and primary results as the dominant signals shaping current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$24,064終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Republican tilt and the presence of incumbent Brandon Gill anchor trader consensus around an 87.5% Republican outcome for the November 2026 general election. Gill secured the GOP nomination with over 91% in the March primary, while Democrat Steven Shook advanced from a narrower Democratic contest in a seat redrawn to favor Republicans by double-digit margins on recent presidential voting patterns. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major turnout shifts or late developments. With the general election roughly 11 weeks away, traders weigh the district's established partisan baseline and primary results as the dominant signals shaping current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,064終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's pronounced Republican tilt and the presence of incumbent Brandon Gill anchor trader consensus around an 87.5% Republican outcome for the November 2026 general election. Gill secured the GOP nomination with over 91% in the March primary, while Democrat Steven Shook advanced from a narrower Democratic contest in a seat redrawn to favor Republicans by double-digit margins on recent presidential voting patterns. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major turnout shifts or late developments. With the general election roughly 11 weeks away, traders weigh the district's established partisan baseline and primary results as the dominant signals shaping current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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