Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates for Q3 2026 have climbed to 5.1% annualized, up from 4.4% earlier in September, driven by stronger personal consumption expenditures and government spending data. This follows Q2’s 1.5% pace and aligns with other nowcasts around 2.8–3.0%, reflecting resilient consumer demand, AI-related capital investment, and solid labor market conditions. The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike underscores inflation concerns that could temper momentum later, yet current tracking data support the market’s 78.5% implied probability on growth of 3.0% or higher. Official BEA advance figures due in late October remain the key resolution catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日≥3.0% 77%
2.5–3.0% 11%
2.0–2.5% 8%
1.5–2.0% 4.8%
$39,831 Vol.
$39,831 Vol.
2026/10/29
<0.5%
2%
0.5–1.0%
1%
1.0–1.5%
1%
1.5–2.0%
5%
2.0–2.5%
8%
2.5–3.0%
11%
≥3.0%
77%
≥3.0% 77%
2.5–3.0% 11%
2.0–2.5% 8%
1.5–2.0% 4.8%
$39,831 Vol.
$39,831 Vol.
2026/10/29
<0.5%
$1,475 Vol.
2%
0.5–1.0%
$877 Vol.
1%
1.0–1.5%
$966 Vol.
1%
1.5–2.0%
$1,035 Vol.
5%
2.0–2.5%
$2,358 Vol.
8%
2.5–3.0%
$3,930 Vol.
11%
≥3.0%
$29,189 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates for Q3 2026 have climbed to 5.1% annualized, up from 4.4% earlier in September, driven by stronger personal consumption expenditures and government spending data. This follows Q2’s 1.5% pace and aligns with other nowcasts around 2.8–3.0%, reflecting resilient consumer demand, AI-related capital investment, and solid labor market conditions. The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike underscores inflation concerns that could temper momentum later, yet current tracking data support the market’s 78.5% implied probability on growth of 3.0% or higher. Official BEA advance figures due in late October remain the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
音量
$39,831終了日
2026/10/30マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates for Q3 2026 have climbed to 5.1% annualized, up from 4.4% earlier in September, driven by stronger personal consumption expenditures and government spending data. This follows Q2’s 1.5% pace and aligns with other nowcasts around 2.8–3.0%, reflecting resilient consumer demand, AI-related capital investment, and solid labor market conditions. The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike underscores inflation concerns that could temper momentum later, yet current tracking data support the market’s 78.5% implied probability on growth of 3.0% or higher. Official BEA advance figures due in late October remain the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
音量
$39,831終了日
2026/10/30マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates for Q3 2026 have climbed to 5.1% annualized, up from 4.4% earlier in September, driven by stronger personal consumption expenditures and government spending data. This follows Q2’s 1.5% pace and aligns with other nowcasts around 2.8–3.0%, reflecting resilient consumer demand, AI-related capital investment, and solid labor market conditions. The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike underscores inflation concerns that could temper momentum later, yet current tracking data support the market’s 78.5% implied probability on growth of 3.0% or higher. Official BEA advance figures due in late October remain the key resolution catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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