The Trump administration’s industrial policy has shifted toward direct federal equity investments in companies critical to national security and supply-chain resilience, primarily to counter reliance on China in semiconductors, rare earths, and defense-related minerals. Since January 2025, agencies including Commerce and Defense have completed more than a dozen such deals totaling over $20 billion, acquiring stakes in Intel, MP Materials, Lithium Americas, Trilogy Metals, and U.S. Steel along with warrants and offtake agreements. This approach expands beyond traditional grants and loans, incorporating “golden shares” and conditional purchase rights. Traders are now evaluating prospects for additional positions by the end of 2026 in defense contractors and emerging technology firms amid ongoing agency reviews and expanded authorities for the Development Finance Corporation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$82,969 Vol.
2026/12/31
Anduril
29%
ボーイング
36%
TSMC
14%
OpenAI
13%
パランティア
20%
エヌビディア
11%
グローバルファウンドリーズ
22%
ロッキード・マーチン
21%
TikTok US / Bytedance
22%
フリーポート・マクモラン
16%
IonQ
22%
マイクロン
20%
D-Wave
18%
Anthropic
19%
Rigetti
26%
イーライリリー
16%
ファイザー
25%
サムスン電子
17%
$82,969 Vol.
Anduril
$39,485 Vol.
29%
ボーイング
$845 Vol.
36%
TSMC
$411 Vol.
14%
OpenAI
$1,150 Vol.
13%
パランティア
$438 Vol.
20%
エヌビディア
$8,828 Vol.
11%
グローバルファウンドリーズ
$896 Vol.
22%
ロッキード・マーチン
$646 Vol.
21%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$371 Vol.
22%
フリーポート・マクモラン
$616 Vol.
16%
IonQ
$194 Vol.
22%
マイクロン
$1,032 Vol.
20%
D-Wave
$499 Vol.
18%
Anthropic
$899 Vol.
19%
Rigetti
$19,055 Vol.
26%
イーライリリー
$187 Vol.
16%
ファイザー
$192 Vol.
25%
サムスン電子
$7,226 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s industrial policy has shifted toward direct federal equity investments in companies critical to national security and supply-chain resilience, primarily to counter reliance on China in semiconductors, rare earths, and defense-related minerals. Since January 2025, agencies including Commerce and Defense have completed more than a dozen such deals totaling over $20 billion, acquiring stakes in Intel, MP Materials, Lithium Americas, Trilogy Metals, and U.S. Steel along with warrants and offtake agreements. This approach expands beyond traditional grants and loans, incorporating “golden shares” and conditional purchase rights. Traders are now evaluating prospects for additional positions by the end of 2026 in defense contractors and emerging technology firms amid ongoing agency reviews and expanded authorities for the Development Finance Corporation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
音量
$82,969終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s industrial policy has shifted toward direct federal equity investments in companies critical to national security and supply-chain resilience, primarily to counter reliance on China in semiconductors, rare earths, and defense-related minerals. Since January 2025, agencies including Commerce and Defense have completed more than a dozen such deals totaling over $20 billion, acquiring stakes in Intel, MP Materials, Lithium Americas, Trilogy Metals, and U.S. Steel along with warrants and offtake agreements. This approach expands beyond traditional grants and loans, incorporating “golden shares” and conditional purchase rights. Traders are now evaluating prospects for additional positions by the end of 2026 in defense contractors and emerging technology firms amid ongoing agency reviews and expanded authorities for the Development Finance Corporation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$82,969終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s industrial policy has shifted toward direct federal equity investments in companies critical to national security and supply-chain resilience, primarily to counter reliance on China in semiconductors, rare earths, and defense-related minerals. Since January 2025, agencies including Commerce and Defense have completed more than a dozen such deals totaling over $20 billion, acquiring stakes in Intel, MP Materials, Lithium Americas, Trilogy Metals, and U.S. Steel along with warrants and offtake agreements. This approach expands beyond traditional grants and loans, incorporating “golden shares” and conditional purchase rights. Traders are now evaluating prospects for additional positions by the end of 2026 in defense contractors and emerging technology firms amid ongoing agency reviews and expanded authorities for the Development Finance Corporation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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