Traders' overwhelming consensus for a NASDAQ listing at 95.5% implied probability stems from SpaceX's confidential SEC IPO filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June debut at a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever—explicitly aligned with NASDAQ per investor analyses from ARK Invest and others. NASDAQ's recent rule changes, announced May 5, enable immediate passive index fund inclusion post-IPO, a tailored incentive to attract SpaceX amid competition from NYSE, mirroring Tesla's NASDAQ home. This reflects SpaceX's tech ecosystem fit, bolstered by Starlink's orbital constellation growth and Starship reusability milestones. Realistic challenges include Elon Musk pivoting to NYSE for prestige or the nascent Texas Stock Exchange, though no official signals support this; watch for roadshow details next week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日NASDAQ 96%
その他 4.1%
NYSE 1.1%
$100,485 Vol.
$100,485 Vol.
NASDAQ
96%
その他
4%
NYSE
1%
NASDAQ 96%
その他 4.1%
NYSE 1.1%
$100,485 Vol.
$100,485 Vol.
NASDAQ
96%
その他
4%
NYSE
1%
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' overwhelming consensus for a NASDAQ listing at 95.5% implied probability stems from SpaceX's confidential SEC IPO filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June debut at a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever—explicitly aligned with NASDAQ per investor analyses from ARK Invest and others. NASDAQ's recent rule changes, announced May 5, enable immediate passive index fund inclusion post-IPO, a tailored incentive to attract SpaceX amid competition from NYSE, mirroring Tesla's NASDAQ home. This reflects SpaceX's tech ecosystem fit, bolstered by Starlink's orbital constellation growth and Starship reusability milestones. Realistic challenges include Elon Musk pivoting to NYSE for prestige or the nascent Texas Stock Exchange, though no official signals support this; watch for roadshow details next week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問