Traders assign Other a 50% share in this first-to-announce market because no listed Democrat has formally entered the 2028 race as of early August 2026, leaving room for unlisted figures or later movers. Andy Beshear’s 28.5% price reflects his repeated public teases, active role as a 2026 midterm surrogate, and positioning as a moderate governor from a red state who could test the waters soon after November. Gavin Newsom’s 19.7% follows his ongoing national profile-building, including recent comments framing a bid as “fate” and policy shifts on issues like AI. Lower prices for Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, and others align with their more measured public signals amid an open field where the July 2026 DNC decision to start 2028 primaries in South Carolina has not yet prompted declarations. Announcements are widely expected to accelerate after the midterms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アンディ・ベシア 29%
ギャビン・ニューサム 19.7%
カマラ・ハリス 13%
ピート・ブティジェッジ 12%
新規
新規
2028/12/31
アンディ・ベシア
29%
ギャビン・ニューサム
20%
カマラ・ハリス
13%
ピート・ブティジェッジ
12%
ロ・カンナ
9%
ラーム・エマニュエル
8%
ジョシュ・シャピロ
4%
ジョン・オソフ
2%
アレクサンドリア・オカシオ＝コルテス
2%
ジョン・スチュワート
<1%
スティーブン・A・スミス
<1%
アンディ・ベシア 29%
ギャビン・ニューサム 19.7%
カマラ・ハリス 13%
ピート・ブティジェッジ 12%
新規
新規
2028/12/31
アンディ・ベシア
$1,880 Vol.
29%
ギャビン・ニューサム
$2,758 Vol.
20%
カマラ・ハリス
$504 Vol.
13%
ピート・ブティジェッジ
$580 Vol.
12%
ロ・カンナ
$383 Vol.
9%
ラーム・エマニュエル
$512 Vol.
8%
ジョシュ・シャピロ
$306 Vol.
4%
ジョン・オソフ
$306 Vol.
2%
アレクサンドリア・オカシオ＝コルテス
$391 Vol.
2%
ジョン・スチュワート
$364 Vol.
<1%
スティーブン・A・スミス
$284 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign Other a 50% share in this first-to-announce market because no listed Democrat has formally entered the 2028 race as of early August 2026, leaving room for unlisted figures or later movers. Andy Beshear’s 28.5% price reflects his repeated public teases, active role as a 2026 midterm surrogate, and positioning as a moderate governor from a red state who could test the waters soon after November. Gavin Newsom’s 19.7% follows his ongoing national profile-building, including recent comments framing a bid as “fate” and policy shifts on issues like AI. Lower prices for Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, and others align with their more measured public signals amid an open field where the July 2026 DNC decision to start 2028 primaries in South Carolina has not yet prompted declarations. Announcements are widely expected to accelerate after the midterms.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
音量
$8,270終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign Other a 50% share in this first-to-announce market because no listed Democrat has formally entered the 2028 race as of early August 2026, leaving room for unlisted figures or later movers. Andy Beshear’s 28.5% price reflects his repeated public teases, active role as a 2026 midterm surrogate, and positioning as a moderate governor from a red state who could test the waters soon after November. Gavin Newsom’s 19.7% follows his ongoing national profile-building, including recent comments framing a bid as “fate” and policy shifts on issues like AI. Lower prices for Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, and others align with their more measured public signals amid an open field where the July 2026 DNC decision to start 2028 primaries in South Carolina has not yet prompted declarations. Announcements are widely expected to accelerate after the midterms.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8,270終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign Other a 50% share in this first-to-announce market because no listed Democrat has formally entered the 2028 race as of early August 2026, leaving room for unlisted figures or later movers. Andy Beshear’s 28.5% price reflects his repeated public teases, active role as a 2026 midterm surrogate, and positioning as a moderate governor from a red state who could test the waters soon after November. Gavin Newsom’s 19.7% follows his ongoing national profile-building, including recent comments framing a bid as “fate” and policy shifts on issues like AI. Lower prices for Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, and others align with their more measured public signals amid an open field where the July 2026 DNC decision to start 2028 primaries in South Carolina has not yet prompted declarations. Announcements are widely expected to accelerate after the midterms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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