Iran's participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup remains on track despite earlier geopolitical tensions and safety concerns tied to U.S.-Iran relations. FIFA has approved the team's base camp shift to Tijuana, Mexico, resolved potential visa complications, and confirmed the squad's arrival ahead of group-stage matches against New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt. The Italian Football Federation and government explicitly rejected any replacement suggestion, while FIFA has consistently stated there are no plans to alter the qualified field. These confirmed steps and official assurances have anchored trader consensus around no replacement. A last-minute Iranian withdrawal due to renewed conflict or travel barriers represents the primary, though currently low-probability, scenario that could reopen the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No Replacement 98.3%
Other 1.1%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
$74,955 Vol.
$74,955 Vol.
2026/08/31
No Replacement
98%
Other
1%
Italy
1%
UAE
1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 98.3%
Other 1.1%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
$74,955 Vol.
$74,955 Vol.
2026/08/31
No Replacement
$26,549 Vol.
98%
Other
$5,284 Vol.
1%
Italy
$32,836 Vol.
1%
UAE
$6,652 Vol.
1%
Bolivia
$3,634 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Iran's participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup remains on track despite earlier geopolitical tensions and safety concerns tied to U.S.-Iran relations. FIFA has approved the team's base camp shift to Tijuana, Mexico, resolved potential visa complications, and confirmed the squad's arrival ahead of group-stage matches against New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt. The Italian Football Federation and government explicitly rejected any replacement suggestion, while FIFA has consistently stated there are no plans to alter the qualified field. These confirmed steps and official assurances have anchored trader consensus around no replacement. A last-minute Iranian withdrawal due to renewed conflict or travel barriers represents the primary, though currently low-probability, scenario that could reopen the outcome.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
音量
$74,955終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Iran's participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup remains on track despite earlier geopolitical tensions and safety concerns tied to U.S.-Iran relations. FIFA has approved the team's base camp shift to Tijuana, Mexico, resolved potential visa complications, and confirmed the squad's arrival ahead of group-stage matches against New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt. The Italian Football Federation and government explicitly rejected any replacement suggestion, while FIFA has consistently stated there are no plans to alter the qualified field. These confirmed steps and official assurances have anchored trader consensus around no replacement. A last-minute Iranian withdrawal due to renewed conflict or travel barriers represents the primary, though currently low-probability, scenario that could reopen the outcome.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$74,955終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran's participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup remains on track despite earlier geopolitical tensions and safety concerns tied to U.S.-Iran relations. FIFA has approved the team's base camp shift to Tijuana, Mexico, resolved potential visa complications, and confirmed the squad's arrival ahead of group-stage matches against New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt. The Italian Football Federation and government explicitly rejected any replacement suggestion, while FIFA has consistently stated there are no plans to alter the qualified field. These confirmed steps and official assurances have anchored trader consensus around no replacement. A last-minute Iranian withdrawal due to renewed conflict or travel barriers represents the primary, though currently low-probability, scenario that could reopen the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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